Brazil Presidential Election
66%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro66%▼ 17
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva34%▲ 17
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Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms? (Before election day 2026)
The odds
4%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 19, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 | 5.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nancy Mace
Search ›- Yes, ‘Shoot’ The MessengerPolitiZoom It would behoove people to check the background of those they use in their political ads. This debacle of sorts comes to you from Iowa. Itâs a GOP attack ad, and it backfired quite nicely. You see, they were trying to smear a…
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NYC's woke mayor Zohran Mamdani slammed for giving illegal immigrants advice on how to avoid being caught by ICENew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani has been accused of giving illegal immigrants advice on how to 'evade' Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Mamdani, a Democratic Socialist, is under fire from political opponents after uploading a… -
House Dems Target Hegseth for Impeachment if They Win MidtermsHouse Democrats are already plotting to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth if they regain control of Congress in November, making the Trump administration official a top target of their anticipated return to power. While Democratic… -
Democrat Nancy Lacore outlines priorities in South Carolina U.S. House District 1 raceCHARLESTON, S.C. (WTOC) - Democrat Nancy Lacore said ending corruption and lowering the cost of living are focuses of her campaign for the South Carolina U.S. House District 1 seat. Lacore is running against Republican Jenny Costa… -
This New El-Sayed Ad With Fox News Personalities Tells You How Desperate He Must BeThere doesn't seem to be a day that goes by without some negative story dropping on Democrat nominee for the Senate in Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed. As we've noted, El-Sayed has a problem with black and Jewish voters. But one way of knowing… -
WE THE PALMETTO: Democrats predict a blue waveCHARLESTON, S.C. (WCSC) — It’s a new year, but the script is the same: South Carolina Democrats are once again predicting a blue wave when the polls close on Nov. 3. While previous hopes have been dashed by the deep red Republican wall… -
Libertarian Bill Reeside outlines priorities in South Carolina U.S. House District 1 raceCHARLESTON, SC. (WTOC) - Bill Reeside, the Libertarian candidate for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District seat, says tackling the federal deficit and ending prolonged military involvement are his main focuses ahead of the Nov. 3… -
Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt outlines priorities in South Carolina U.S. House District 1 raceCHARLESTON, S.C. (WTOC) - Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt said protecting her home and addressing affordability are driving her campaign for the South Carolina U.S. House District 1 seat in the Nov. 3 election. Honeycutt is running… -
What Could Democrats Do If They Win the Midterms?WASHINGTON—Even as Republican campaign spending intensifies and the president holds rallies across the country for candidates, many forecasts still look grim for the party in power. Observers from across the political spectrum predict that… -
Nancy Mace Blasts Vivek Ramaswamy’s Political Ad Ahead of MidtermsBy Ewan Scott | Oct 22, 2026 | Featured, News & Analysis, Politics Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) has condemned a political advertisement run by Ohio gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, calling it the most disgraceful ad of the current… -
Trump’s Vile Defense of “That Ad” Bodes Very Ill for the Last 12 DaysThere you have it. The sickest and most repulsive TV ad in American political history, endorsed by the sickest and most repulsive human in American political history. Once again, Trump drags America to a bottom that most of us didn’t know… -
Nancy Mace: Ramaswamy’s ‘Ad Might Have Cost JD Vance the Presidency’Wednesday on CNN’s “The Lead,” Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) said Ohio Republican gubernatorial nominee Vivek Ramaswamy’s ad featuring Donna Arthur, the estranged mother of his Democratic opponent, Amy Acton, “might have cost JD Vance the…
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Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions