Brazil Presidential Election
78%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro78%▼ 6
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22%▲ 6
Install
Poland general election winner? (2027)
The odds
48%Civic Coalition
- Civic Coalition48%
- Law and Justice45%
- Confederation3%
- The Left2%
- Third Way2%
How the odds have moved
Civic Coalition: 48% on Oct 20, 48% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civic Coalition | 48% | 47¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 174 | |
| Law and Justice | 45% | 44¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 2.2K | |
| Confederation | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 | 81.00 | |
| The Left | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | 56.00 | |
| Third Way | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | 1.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Poland, Civic Coalition
Search ›- Civic Coalition leads Polish poll with 27.8% — InteriaIn Poland, the Civic Coalition received 27.8% support in a poll by the Institute for Market and Social Research IBRiS, conducted for Polsat News. The Law and Justice party came second with 19.1%, while Confederation ranked third with…
-
Thousands protest in Poland over stalled abortion law reformsThousands of people took to the streets of Warsaw and more than 20 other Polish cities on Thursday to demand abortion rights, marking the sixth anniversary of a near-total abortion ban introduced following a ruling by Poland's highest… -
Women are protesting in Poland for free access to legal abortionsThe Washington Post Women are protesting in Poland for access to free and legal abortion services WARSAW, Poland — Women plan street demonstrations in more than 20 Polish cities and towns Thursday to protest the lack of access to free and… -
Vietnam, Poland boost friendship, expand cooperationOver the past 76 years, Vietnam and Poland have cultivated a robust and enduring friendship. As both countries seek new drivers for growth, the current objective is to build upon this traditional foundation while broadening cooperation in… -
Poland Seeks US, French Nuclear DeterrenceSada Elbalad English Poland Seeks US, French Nuclear Deterrence Poland is pursuing participation in US and French nuclear deterrence arrangements as Warsaw explores ways to strengthen its security, according to Defense Minister Władysław… -
Poland’s Enemies, Foreign and DomesticOn Oct. 18, a drone exploded in northern Lithuania, triggering the latest regional alarm in a conflict that, as of this writing, might mercifully be reaching its conclusion. [S]upport for accepting Ukrainian refugees declined from an… -
Poland Considers NATO Nuclear Sharing and France's Nuclear UmbrellaPoland Considers Hosting US and French Nuclear Weapons Военное дело Poland Considers NATO Nuclear Sharing and France's Nuclear Umbrella Poland is considering hosting US and French nuclear weapons while seeking NATO nuclear sharing… -
European Values, Poland and Ukraine, by Bohdan VitvitskyBohdan Vitvitsky examines the renewed dispute between Poland and Ukraine over the legacy of the Ukrainian Insurgent Army, questioning Warsaw’s claims to moral authority over Ukraine’s historical memory and whether… Bohdan Vitvitsky… -
Interview: India Is Not Europe—and Poland Knows ItWarsaw and New Delhi are deepening defence, trade and technology ties despite divergent approaches to Moscow. Polish journalist and geopolitical analyst Tomasz Augustyniak examines the strategic calculations, unresolved tensions and global… -
Poland's Parliament Votes to Relax Abortion LawsPoland's parliament has paved the way for more liberal abortion laws. On Tuesday evening, a majority of lawmakers voted in favor of two related bills proposed by the center-left coalition led by Prime Minister Donald Tusk. However, it is… -
Poland Blames Starlink Sabotage on RussiaPoland is blaming Russia for an arson attack on a Starlink satellite station in September and two Turkish citizens have been arrested in connection with the suspected act of sabotage, authorities said. The suspects, whose names were not… -
Poland, Baltics Agree EU Visa Ban Plan for Russians – StatementPoland and the three Baltic states said Thursday they would temporarily restrict access for Russian citizens holding EU visas by Sept. 19 to address "public policy and security threats." The prime ministers of Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania…
Related markets
All around the world ›Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
58%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia58%▼ 10
- Student List – Students Win41%▲ 10
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
50%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%50%▲ 10
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%25%▼ 13
- Lula da Silva <4%20%▲ 7
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%4%▼ 2
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%▼ 1
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
72%Yashar
- Yashar72%▲ 2
- Likud28%▼ 3
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Next French Presidential Election
44%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen44%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe16%▼ 1
- David Lisnard14%▲ 1
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann3%▼ 1
- François Hollande2%
- Bruno Retailleau2%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Christine Lagarde<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
79%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro79%▼ 5
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22%▲ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions