The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 56
75%
70¢
80¢
$1.25
625
Above 60
69%
64¢
73¢
$1.37
10.00
Above 64
63%
58¢
67¢
$1.49
10.00
Above 68
56%
51¢
60¢
$1.67
25.00
Above 72
41%
36¢
46¢
$2.17
Above 76
25%
20¢
30¢
$3.33
Above 80
11%
▲ 1
6¢
15¢
$6.67
2.00
Above 84
6%
▲ 1
2¢
9¢
$11.11
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: American Affordability and Jobs Act, Senators
The Impacts of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026Earthjustice · 4 days agoEarthjustice serves hundreds of public-interest clients, providing top-tier legal representation free of charge — and we win. Because the earth needs a good lawyer. A look at how the bill’s provisions would affect electric transmission…
Trump Targets $6.2 Billion Offshore Wind Project Nearing CompletionOilPrice.com · 34 h agoU.S. Dips Into Strategic Oil Reserve Again Amid Supply Disruptions Energy bills are expected to… Delayed offshore wind projects are… Policy adjustments are now improving… The recent filing states, “The Department of the Interior agrees…
Can a bill on Capitol Hill tackle data center concerns in San Diego?San Diego Union-Tribune · 2 days agoRep. Scott Peters, D-San Diego, is stumping for an energy transmission and permitting bill on Capitol Hill that supporters want to take up in the upcoming lame duck session of Congress — and Peters says part of the expansive legislation…
Metals industry associations join call for permitting reformRecycling Today · 4 days agoThe Aluminum Association and the Steel Manufacturers Association are among those calling for action on the bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act. By DeAnne Toto, Editorial Director “America is entering a new era of energy demand,”…
The Costs of Delaying Implementation of the EU Methane Regulation@ColumbiaUEnergy · 3 days agoPresident Donald Trump has blamed Ukraine for surging diesel prices that are hurting Republicans' election chances with the midterms just two weeks away. Insights from the Center on Global Energy Policy Blog by Tim Boersma & Anne-Sophie…
UChicago student files ethics complaint against Dem senatorFox News · 2 days agoUniversity of Chicago student Michael Bicksel discusses filing an ethics complaint against Sen. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich. UChicago student files ethics complaint against Dem senator University of Chicago student Michael Bicksel discusses…
Opinion: Utah’s energy future demands bipartisan action on permittingDeseret News · 2 days agoUtah faces a critical moment. As the state and country face unprecedented energy demand and rising costs, there is a real opportunity to strengthen America’s infrastructure: the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act. This…
Permitting Deal Turns Into a Street Fightenmnews.com · 4 days agoThe Senate’s fragile permitting package has triggered a broad and determined lobbying campaign, with energy companies, trade groups, environmental organizations and manufacturers all pressing their case as lawmakers weigh the measure’s…
The energy industry’s post-midterms priority listLatitude Media · 3 days agoThere are three transformational decisions that could follow in the weeks after votes are cast. Jim Kapsis is the founder and CEO of The Ad Hoc Group, and previously was the VP of market development at Opower, as well as an official in the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
