Fed Decision in October?
94%No change
- No change94%▲ 3
- 25 bps increase5%▼ 2
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Will Pennsylvania natural-gas production rise YoY? (2026)
The odds
53%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 53% on Oct 20, 53% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53% | 52¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 17.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pennsylvania
Search ›-
Pennsylvania legislature passes resolution honoring Kada ScottCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting… -
In Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, Fitzpatrick-Harvie House race tightensIn Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, which includes Bucks County and part of Montgomery County, the race between incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick and Bob Harvie, a Democrat, is heating up. Reporter Dan Snyder talked to… -
Lawmakers in Pennsylvania pass bell-to-bell cellphone ban for schoolsCBS News Lawmakers in Pennsylvania pass bell-to-bell cellphone ban for schools Allegheny County's newly passed mandate on paid parental leave draws strong reactions KDKA-TV Nightly Forecast (10/21) Elementary school teacher caught with… -
Pennsylvania warns doctors about rising rates of rare congenital measlesby Nathaniel Weixel 10/21/26 10:55 AM ET The Pennsylvania health department issued a warning to doctors Monday about an increase in measles cases during pregnancy, along with rising concern about congenital measles, a disease rarely seen… -
Pennsylvania lawmakers pass bell-to-bell cellphone ban for students in schoolsCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting… -
Electric rates to rise this winter in Pennsylvania as power demand outpaces supply, experts sayOctober 20, 2026 / 6:39 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Be prepared to pay more for your electricity this winter. Rates in Pennsylvania will once again increase on Dec. 1. Electric companies said bills should only increase by a few dollars per… -
Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District features rematch between Summer Lee and James HayesOctober 21, 2026 / 6:50 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee is facing a challenge from Republican James Hayes in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District. Lee believes that if midterm elections are a referendum on the… -
Pennsylvania Lottery scratch-off ticket worth $4 million sold in Westmoreland CountyOctober 21, 2026 / 11:17 AM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh A winning $4 million scratch-off lottery ticket was recently sold at Live! Casino Pittsburgh in Westmoreland County. The Pennsylvania Lottery didn't specify when the ticket was sold, but… -
As Pennsylvania bans most vapes, health experts give tips for quitting smokingOctober 19, 2026 / 1:44 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh People who vape will now have a problem finding their favorite products because of a statewide ban in Pennsylvania that took effect Monday on most products. The ban comes as some people who… -
Pennsylvania man stole more than $118,000 from relative, officials sayOctober 20, 2026 / 8:25 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh A man from Westmoreland County is accused of stealing more than $110,000 from a relative's financial accounts. Ronald Palicka is facing theft, access device fraud, and receiving stolen… -
In Pennsylvania's 1st District, incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick faces tough reelection fight: "All hands on deck"October 21, 2026 / 7:44 PM EDT / CBS Philadelphia Pennsylvania has once again become the battleground to watch in a major election. In this year's midterms, the commonwealth is host to four congressional races — for seats currently held by… -
AI-generated political ads have appeared in Pennsylvania. Are these kind of ads allowed?October 21, 2026 / 7:26 AM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Now, with less than two weeks before Election Day, the Pennsylvania governor's race has taken an artificial intelligence turn. An AI-generated ad by Stacy Garrity's campaign has joined a…
Related markets
All economy ›Fed Decision in December?
76%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase76%▲ 4
- No change20%
- 50+ bps increase3%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
97%0 (0 bps)
- 0 (0 bps)97%▲ 1
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)<1%
10 more
- 3 (75 bps)<1%
- 4 (100 bps)<1%
- 7 (175 bps)<1%
- 5 (125 bps)<1%
- 6 (150 bps)<1%
- 8 (200 bps)<1%
- 9 (225 bps)<1%
- 10 (250 bps)<1%
- 11 (275 bps)<1%
- 12+ (300+ bps)<1%
Texas crude oil production in 2026
5.76median
5.506
Median 5.76Middle half 5.73 – 5.80
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
75%chance▼ 3
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
73%Hike–Pause–Hike
- Hike–Pause–Hike73%▲ 2
- Hike–Pause–Pause23%▲ 2
- Hike–Hike–Hike2%▼ 4
2 more
- Other1%
- Hike–Hike–Pause1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.