Open vs. Closed Token market share (Vercel) on Oct 22, 2026
62.53%median
39.7%65.7%
Median 62.53%
Install
Open vs. Closed Token market share (Vercel) in Oct 20, 2026
The odds
98%Above 61.2%
33.7%63%
How the odds have moved
Above 38.6%: 99% on Oct 20, 100% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 38.6% | 100% | ▲ 1 | 99¢ | 6.7K | ||
| Above 43.5% | 99% | ▲ 3 | 98¢ | 2.1K | ||
| Above 45.3% | 99% | ▲ 5 | 98¢ | 1.4K | ||
| Above 47.5% | 99% | 98¢ | 1.2K | |||
| Above 53.0% | 99% | ▲ 21 | 99¢ | 2.7K | ||
| Above 54.8% | 99% | ▲ 34 | 98¢ | $1.01 | 2.2K | |
| Above 56.3% | 99% | ▲ 48 | 97¢ | $1.02 | 2.6K | |
| Above 59.4% | 99% | ▲ 28 | 97¢ | $1.02 | 3.1K | |
| Above 61.2% | 98% | ▲ 52 | 95¢ | $1.03 | 3.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Closed Token, Vercel
Search ›-
TypeScript 7 Native Port, Perplexity Decision Models, and the Vercel Platform ExpansionThis week's AI tooling news split cleanly between two themes: speed and consolidation. TypeScript's native port landed with build time numbers that sound made-up until you run them yourself, while Vercel quietly became a serious backend… -
Python GA on Vercel, New Reasoning Models, and Layout-Aware Diffusion: Issue #110This week's releases cluster around a clear theme: reducing the infrastructure surface area developers have to manage. Vercel made a serious push to own the full-stack Python deployment story, two new reasoning models landed with… - “Invalid API key” or undefined env vars on Vercel: how to fix itYour app works on your machine. You deploy to Vercel and get one of these: Or process.env.MY_KEY is simply undefined in production. Vercel → Project → Settings → Environment Variables. Add each key, tick the environments that need…
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TypeSafe's Jev becomes the fastest-adopted model in Vercel AI Gateway historyYour business deserves an address The Metropolix, from Startup Fortune: your own building and public page on the map, plus a Startup Fortune feature with annual plans. From $9 a month. A Startup Fortune initiative You are invited to be on… -
Jev Becomes Vercel Gateway’s Fastest Model at 35% [2026]Vercel put the scale of the jump in its own words. “Jev was adopted faster than any other model in AI Gateway history. In the first day, @typesafeai reached ~13% of teams, 2x the GPT-5.6 family and 6x Fable 5.1,” the company said, a… -
TypeSafe's Jev becomes Vercel AI Gateway's fastest-adopted model everYour business deserves an address The Metropolix, from Startup Fortune: your own building and public page on the map, plus a Startup Fortune feature with annual plans. From $9 a month. A Startup Fortune initiative You are invited to be on… - Jev Reached 35% of Paid Teams on Vercel’s AI Gateway in Two WeeksIts reach was almost twice Sonnet 5.5’s. The figures cover Vercel’s AI Gateway, not the full AI market. TypeSafe AI’s Jev was used by 35% of paid teams on Vercel’s AI Gateway within two weeks of launch, giving it almost twice the reach of…
- Vercel Shop Officially Launches Integration with ShopifyGuillermo Rauch announced the official launch of Vercel Shop, providing a production-grade e-commerce front-end template based on Next.js, with Shopify as the backend. It supports Agent calls out of the box, and Vercel has also launched an…
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Jev is Vercel's fastest-adopted AI model everLast day to save up to $200 to TechCrunch Founder Summit on Oct. 16. Register now. Jev has become the fastest adopted AI model ever — at least by some measures. Vercel data published on Thursday shows that, within two weeks of its launch… -
Vercel says TypeSafe’s Jev is the fastest-adopted AI model on its gatewayA decision-only model that never writes a sentence reached roughly 13% of Vercel's paid AI Gateway teams in its first 24 hours. The fastest-adopted AI model on Vercel’s AI Gateway does not write essays, poems or code. It answers questions… -
Vercel's Rauch: 60% of Deployments Are Now Agents, and the Internet Is Being Rebuilt for ThemThe most startling number in tech right now might not be a funding round or a revenue figure. It's a deployment curve. According to Guillermo Rauch, CEO of Vercel, speaking on the Sourcery podcast, coding agents accounted for 3% of… - Vercel agent runtimes: Python, Daemons, DrivesChecked against vercel.com on 16 Oct 2026. The narrative of the London and New York keynotes is the Ship 2026 recap guide. The four calls are in the audience decision matrix on this page. The essay that ties them together is Vercel Ship…
Related markets
All ai ›Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
22%December 31, 2029
- December 31, 20279%▼ 1
- December 31, 202818%▲ 1
- December 31, 202922%▼ 2
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.14Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.14T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T70%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
DeepSeek market share this week (DeepSeek market share - Oct 19, 2026)
27.6%median
21.6%29%
Median 27.6%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
80%Google
- Google80%▲ 6
- Anthropic18%▼ 6
- Meta1%
18 more
- OpenAI1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
52%Anthropic
- Anthropic52%▲ 1
- Google38%▼ 3
- OpenAI5%
12 more
- Meta1%
- xAI1%
- Alibaba<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Baidu<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.