Brazil Presidential Election
78%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro78%▼ 5
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22%▲ 5
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Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? (2026)
The odds
47%Lee Fairclough
- Lee Fairclough47%▲ 1
- Navdeep Bains34%▼ 1
- Stephanie Bowman12%
- Dylan Marando4%
- Eric Lombardi2%
How the odds have moved
Lee Fairclough: 46% on Oct 19, 47% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Fairclough | 47% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 738 |
| Navdeep Bains | 34% | ▼ 1 | 32¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 1.2K |
| Stephanie Bowman | 12% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 399 | |
| Dylan Marando | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 144 | |
| Eric Lombardi | 2% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 50.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ontario Liberal, Lee Fairclough, Navdeep Bains
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Bains campaign says he’s raised almost $750,000 for Ontario Liberal leadership bidA source with the Bains campaign, who asked not to be identified because they’re not authorized to speak publicly, said the former cabinet minister has raised close to $750,000 for the race, which will end next month. Barbara Patrocinio… - Ontario Liberal caucus selects Ottawa South MPP John Fraser to serve as interim leaderOttawa South MPP John Fraser has been chosen by his colleagues to be the Ontario Liberal party’s interim leader, marking the second time he will serve in that capacity. Fraser first assumed the role following the 2018 provincial election…
- Adam: Ontario Liberals should stop finger-pointing and start rebuildingOutgoing Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne speaks during a press conference at the Ontario Legislature at Queen's Park in Toronto on Friday, June 8, 2018. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Frank Gunn ORG XMIT: FNG507 Last week’s crushing Ontario election…
- Liberal campaign promises to repay city for costs of event at train yardThe Ontario Liberal party is covering the extra costs OC Transpo incurred to host leader Kathleen Wynne, several Liberal candidates and journalists for a campaign appearance Thursday morning. Ottawa’s general policy is to let campaigns…
- Kathleen-Wynne | Ottawa CitizenOttawa South MPP John Fraser has been chosen by his colleagues to be the Ontario Liberal party’s interim leader, marking the second time he will serve in that capacity. Five days before the provincial election, with his most hated rival…
- KINSELLA: Toronto mayoral race upended by city's desire for 'change'Brad Bradford's call for 'change' hits home among Toronto residents who are unhappy about crime, congestion and the cost of everything In the 2003 Ontario general election, Ontario Liberal leader Dalton McGuinty crushed the Progressive…
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Mississauga’s mayoral race a close three-way contest with Bonnie Crombie pulling ahead, a new poll showsThe Mississauga mayoral race is one to watch on election night, with a narrow three-way race between the front-runners. From left, incumbent mayor Carolyn Parrish, current councillor Alvin Tedjo and former mayor Bonnie Crombie are in an… - OPINION: Age is just a number. Experience matters.I go to the gym most mornings. I tell myself it’s because I like starting the day with a workout. The truth is probably that, like most of us, I’m trying to ward off getting older. I’m 66. I have three grown children and one beautiful…
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Ontario Liberals seek OSAP funding restored to private career colleges not under investigationOntario Liberals are calling for the Ford government to restore student assistance to private career colleges that are not at the centre of a scandal involving the Ontario Student Assistance Program (OSAP). All grants were frozen after the… -
Former Ontario Liberal Leader Lyn McLeod endorses Lee Fairclough in the party’s leadership raceOntario Liberal leadership candidate Lee Fairclough has secured the endorsement of former party leader Lyn McLeod. McLeod, who led the Ontario Liberals from 1992 to 1996, becomes the fourth former party leader to endorse Fairclough… -
Ford government accused of ties to private career colleges now banned from OSAP program until 2030Posted October 14, 2026 10:25 pm. The Ontario Liberal Party is accusing the Ford government of having ties to private career colleges that have been blocked from the Ontario Student Assistance Program (OSAP) until at least 2030. The… -
Ford government ignored warnings about alleged OSAP abuses, Liberals sayLast week, Ontario announced private career colleges would be temporarily barred from accessing student aid payments. Thousands of post-secondary students from across Ontario came out to protest Doug Ford, rallying against OSAP changes at…
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- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia56%▼ 11
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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
50%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%50%▲ 10
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%24%▼ 14
- Lula da Silva <4%19%▲ 6
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Next French Presidential Election
44%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen44%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe16%▼ 1
- David Lisnard14%▲ 1
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- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%▲ 1
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- François Hollande2%
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Brazil Presidential election winner?
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro80%▼ 4
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva21%▲ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions