US recession by end of 2026?
8%chance▼ 1
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Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year? (2026)
The odds
6%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.08 | 198.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NYSE
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GE Vernova Inc. GEV:NYSECheck out GE Vernova Inc.'s stock price (GEV) in real time CNBC GE Vernova Inc. GEV:NYSE - GMO International Equity ETF GMIE:NYSE ArcaCheck out GMO Intl Equity ETF's stock price (GMIE) in real time CNBC New 52 Week Low Today GMO International Equity ETF GMIE:NYSE Arca There is no recent news for this security.
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Robotics: when machines clock in (Hosted by NYSE Wired)TechCrunch was proud to host NYSE at Disrupt 2026 in San Francisco. On the Builders Stage, NYSE Wired brought together the leaders behind three of robotics’ most ambitious deployments for a candid look at machines on the job. Robots now… - Ishares Future Robotics And Related Technologies Active ETF RBTX:NYSE ArcaCheck out Ishares Future Robotics And Related Technologies Active ETF's stock price (RBTX) in real time CNBC New 52 Week Low Today Ishares Future Robotics And Related Technologies Active ETF RBTX:NYSE Arca There is no recent news for this…
- Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRK.A:NYSECheck out Berkshire Hathaway's stock price (BRK.A) in real time CNBC New 52 Week High Today Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRK.A:NYSE
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Reviewing Target (NYSE:TGT) & United Natural Foods (NYSE:UNFI)Posted by Tristan Rich on Oct 24th, 2026 United Natural Foods (NYSE:UNFI – Get Free Report) and Target (NYSE:TGT – Get Free Report) are both consumer staples companies, but which is the better stock? We will contrast the two companies… -
NETSTREIT (NYSE:NTST) vs. Tanger (NYSE:SKT) Critical SurveyPosted by Tristan Rich on Oct 24th, 2026 NETSTREIT (NYSE:NTST – Get Free Report) and Tanger (NYSE:SKT – Get Free Report) are both mid-cap real estate companies, but which is the better investment? We will contrast the two businesses based… -
Similarweb (NYSE:SMWB) vs. Q2 (NYSE:QTWO) Critical ContrastPosted by Danessa Lincoln on Oct 24th, 2026 Q2 (NYSE:QTWO – Get Free Report) and Similarweb (NYSE:SMWB – Get Free Report) are both technology companies, but which is the superior business? We will contrast the two companies based on the… -
Head-To-Head Review: Asana (NYSE:ASAN) & Teradata (NYSE:TDC)Posted by Defense World Staff on Oct 24th, 2026 Teradata (NYSE:TDC – Get Free Report) and Asana (NYSE:ASAN – Get Free Report) are both mid-cap technology companies, but which is the better stock? We will compare the two companies based on… -
Amentum (NYSE:AMTM) and FTI Consulting (NYSE:FCN) Head to Head ContrastPosted by Kim Johansen on Oct 24th, 2026 Amentum (NYSE:AMTM – Get Free Report) and FTI Consulting (NYSE:FCN – Get Free Report) are both mid-cap industrials companies, but which is the better investment? We will contrast the two companies… -
Riley Exploration Permian (NYSE:REPX) & BW LPG (NYSE:BWLP) Financial AnalysisPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 24th, 2026 Riley Exploration Permian (NYSE:REPX – Get Free Report) and BW LPG (NYSE:BWLP – Get Free Report) are both energy companies, but which is the better business? We will contrast the two… -
Analyzing Gran Tierra Energy (NYSE:GTE) & ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP)Posted by Kim Johansen on Oct 23rd, 2026 Gran Tierra Energy (NYSE:GTE – Get Free Report) and ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP – Get Free Report) are both energy companies, but which is the better business? We will contrast the two companies based…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.