Wisconsin corn yield in 2026
182.8median
160200
Median 182.8Middle half 178.2 – 187.8
Install
U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?
The odds
5%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 19, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 20.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iran
Search ›-
View / For investors, the Iran war redefined energy securityNearly eight months of war in Iran have produced one of the most severe energy shocks in decades, exposing a sharp divide between the countries that absorbed it with surprising ease and those forced into painful tradeoffs. Resilience, it… -
U.K. police rearrest two men in suspected Iranian plot on air baseThe Washington Post The suspects were arrested “on suspicion of assisting a foreign intelligence service,” over an alleged Iranian plan to target a base used by U.S. bombers. LONDON — British police said Tuesday that they had rearrested… -
Why the war on Iran could backfire on US regime-change goalsAl Jazeera Why the war on Iran could backfire on US regime-change goals Analyst Negar Mortazavi tells Al Jazeera at the Global Security Forum that the war on Iran could strengthen Iranian nationalism rather than trigger regime change, as… -
Ohio voters grumble about gas prices but ‘totally get’ Iran war: Salena ZitoOhio voters hesitant to voice who they'll vote for in 2026: Salena Zito Washington Examiner Washington Examiner columnist Salena Zito said voters she talked to are reluctant to say who they are voting for in the midterm elections, despite… -
Two men rearrested on suspicion of assisting Iran’s intelligence service in RAF Fairford incidentBritish counterterrorism police said Tuesday they have rearrested two men in their investigation into last month’s incident at RAF Fairford in England, where US B-1 bombers were based. A 24-year-old British national and a 25-year-old dual… -
Healthcare, housing and Iran: What Senate Democrats plan to do if they retake the majorityThe Hill As Democrats batten down the hatches for a harrowing election night, some are already tossing ideas around about what the first priorities would be in the event they win back the Senate majority. Democrats have about a 56 percent… -
Iran chillingly warns it has ‘unfinished jobs’ in latest threat to USIran’s top diplomat warned Sunday that the Islamic Republic would take care of some “unfinished jobs” if the US renewed its attacks on the Middle Eastern nation. “Last time you wanted to ‘finish the job’, Iran emerged even stronger. Want… -
President Trump says high gas prices are a small price to pay to stop an Iranian nuclear weaponFox News President Trump says high gas prices are a small price to pay to stop an Iranian nuclear weapon President Trump dismisses concerns over rural voter dissatisfaction with the economy, arguing that high gasoline prices are a small… -
Strait of Hormuz scoured for spilt cargo after Iran attacks container shipsAt least 15 vessels struck in waterway in past 10 days, with rumours spread that they carried valuable goods People have been scouring the strait of Hormuz for spilt cargo after Iran attacked at least 15 container ships traversing the… -
Hegseth meets with Netanyahu in Israel ahead of elections and possible restart to Iran warUpdated on: October 20, 2026 / 12:50 AM EDT / CBS News Washington — Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth quietly visited Israel on Monday and met with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, according to a senior U.S. military official who spoke to… -
Beleaguered Macron cites US-Iran war as factor in protests amid Trump, Vance criticismPresident Donald Trump tells reporters that he warned French President Emmanuel Macron about what would happen if the country's borders remained open. The embattled French President Emmanuel Macron on Sunday pinned some of the blame on the… -
Iran would rather starve than acknowledge Israel. Rubio must call its bluffWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions