Brazil Presidential Election
97%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva97%▲ 81
- Flávio Bolsonaro3%▼ 81
Install
NYC efficiency savings in FY2027? (the FY2028 Executive Budget)
The odds
$743.75Mmedian
$0.0000$1.6B
Median $743.75MMiddle half $413.79M – $1.07B
How the odds have moved
Median: $743.75M on Oct 19, $743.75M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $200 million | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| Above $400 million | 76% | 72¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 208 | |
| Above $600 million | 62% | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 221 | |
| Above $800 million | 46% | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 444 | |
| Above $1 billion | 31% | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 35.00 | |
| Above $1.2 billion | 15% | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 209 | |
| Above $1.4 billion | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FY2028 Executive Budget, FY2027
Search ›-
Del. Moylan highlights $55M secured in FY 2026, seeking $145M for FY2027 in congressional addressGuam Del. James Moylan recognizes the presence of family members of the late Vietnam War veteran U.S. Army Sgt. Maj. Juan Ogo Blaz, during his 2026 Congressional Address to island leaders and community members gathered within the Guam… - REP. BOEBERT ANNOUNCES INTENT TO CODIFY UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE FORT COLLINS/CSU REGIONAL HUB RELOCATION IN FY2027 AGRICULTURE APPROPRIATIONS BILL“Locating additional hub functions here will strengthen collaboration with producers, improve the practical application of research, and better serve rural America while reducing unnecessary concentration of bureaucracy in Washington,”…
- City FY2027 Budget Estimate: City Must Address Child Care Budget Gap for Low-Income Families and Low-Wage WorkersBy Lauren Melodia, director, economic & fiscal policy, CNYCA Given these outcomes of the State budget process, it is critical for the City government to fill these gaps in City Fiscal Year 2027 (CF2027). This entails an additional…
-
Minister Kruah Presents US$27.7M FY2027 Budget at “Family Meeting”Minister Atty Cornelia Wonkerleh Kruah pitching before the Executive Budget Hearing Committee headed by Minister Augustine Kpehe Ngafuan Youth and Sports Minister Cornelia Wonkerleh Kruah went before the Executive Budget Hearing Committee…
Related markets
All elections ›Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
99%Student List – Students Win
- Student List – Students Win99%▲ 71
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia<1%▼ 71
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
97%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva97%▲ 80
- Flávio Bolsonaro3%▼ 80
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
85%Lula da Silva <4%
- Lula da Silva <4%85%▲ 71
- Lula da Silva 4-8%14%▲ 14
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%1%▼ 44
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%<1%▼ 34
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%<1%▼ 4
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+<1%▼ 1
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
92%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party92%
- Republican Party9%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
68%Yashar
- Yashar68%▼ 3
- Likud31%▲ 3
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions