Brazil Presidential Election
77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 7
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▲ 7
Install
Labor majority in the NSW Legislative Assembly? (Mar 13, 2027)
The odds
58%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 58% on Oct 19, 58% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58% | 54¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NSW Legislative Assembly, Labor
Search ›-
Supreme Court won't review Trump's firing of labor board memberThe Supreme Court declined on Monday to hear a bid by a Democratic-appointed member of the National Labor Relations Board to challenge the legality of her firing by President Donald Trump. The justices turned away former NLRB member Gwynne… - Lefty NYC labor bill would kill Amazon, UPS jobs, warns dire letterBusiness groups are demanding the City Council block a controversial labor bill backed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani and his progressive comrades — arguing it will slap crippling mandates on crucial job providers. The coalition, including the…
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Labor and the Coalition are poised to take a reckless gamble on AI. Haven’t they realised community support has collapsed?Get our new political email, free app or daily news podcast Australia’s major political parties are edging towards rare consensus. Labor and the Coalition increasingly want to take a major bet on artificial intelligence. Yet, just as the… -
Former Labor attorney general turned judge Robert McClelland named new anti-corruption bossMcClelland, who served in the Rudd government, named as boss of National Anti-Corruption Commission after Paul Brereton quit in May Former Labor attorney general and federal court judge Robert McClelland has been named as the new boss of… -
WHO'S WHO: Inside France's 'Chaos Inc.' franchise of communist groups, labor unions and global activistsDr. Qanta Ahmed, a fellow at the Independent Women's Forum, warns of rising violence in Europe as pro-Palestinian and communist mobs clash with police. After more than 800 rioters are arrested in France for looting and setting buildings… -
Labor promises $30 weekly cap for Victorian public transport amid push for free travelPremier Ben Carroll says two-year limited cap will start on 1 January if re-elected, while Greens say there should be no fares Public transport fares in Victoria will be capped at $30 a week if the Labor government is re-elected next month… -
Labor launches bid for NarracanLabor candidate for Narracan Jannette Langley supporters at her campaign launch On Saturday night that Labor was the only party that would stand up for working people. Member for Eastern Victoria Region Tom McIntosh joined party faithful… -
Labor Goes on Election DefenseNew York City unions representing 1 million members launched a new coalition October 15 to defend the right to vote ahead of the midterm elections November 3. A thousand members rallied outside the city’s main post office, pledging to… -
Breathing New Life Into Organized LaborJeffrey Vogt, Monika Mehta This arrangement assumed that an international floor for labor standards would halt a race to the bottom on wages and working conditions as countries compete for trade and investment. For roughly three decades… -
Independents embarrass Labor on human rights“The 40 per cent of ACT voters who put David Pocock as their first preference at the last election should be feeling very proud of his performance,” writes political columnist MICHAEL MOORE. Why does it take the independents to identify… -
Big Labor Flexes Its Muscles in a Small StateNational Review -
NY-21: Labor unions broadly back GendebienPress-Republican Anthony Constantino (left) and Blake Gendebien Labor unions contributed $41,000 to the campaign of Democrat congressional candidate Blake Gendebien in the third quarter. A total of 10 unions contributed to Gendebienâs…
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59%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia59%▼ 9
- Student List – Students Win40%▲ 9
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
49%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%49%▲ 9
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%25%▼ 13
- Lula da Silva <4%21%▲ 7
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%4%▼ 3
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%▼ 1
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
72%Yashar
- Yashar72%▲ 2
- Likud28%▼ 3
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Next French Presidential Election
44%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen44%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe16%▼ 1
- David Lisnard14%▲ 1
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann3%▼ 1
- François Hollande2%
- Bruno Retailleau2%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Christine Lagarde<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
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- Natacha Polony<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
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- Jean Castex<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
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Brazil Presidential election winner?
79%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro79%▼ 5
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22%▲ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions