NHL Hart Memorial Trophy (2026-27 NHL season)

Kalshi Sports › NHL Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $68 today · $8K traded · $6.5K at stake · prices read 72 min ago

The odds

57%Connor McDavid
  • Connor McDavid57%▼ 2
  • Macklin Celebrini11%▼ 2
  • Kirill Kaprizov6%▲ 1
  • Nathan MacKinnon5%▲ 1
  • Auston Matthews3%
  • Alexis Lafreniere3%
  • Nikita Kucherov2%
  • Jack Hughes2%
  • David Pastrnak2%
  • Jack Eichel2%
  • Connor Bedard2%
  • Quinn Hughes1%
17 more
  • Matthew Tkachuk1%
  • Leon Draisaitl1%
  • Cale Makar1%
  • Mitch Marner1%
  • Nick Suzuki1%
  • Sidney Crosby1%
  • Pavel Dorofeyev1%
  • Igor Shesterkin1%
  • Kyle Connor1%
  • Cole Caufield1%
  • Connor Hellebuyck<1%
  • William Nylander<1%
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy<1%
  • Mikko Rantanen<1%
  • Brady Tkachuk<1%
  • Artemi Panarin<1%
  • Alex Ovechkin<1%

How the odds have moved

Connor McDavid: 38% on Oct 20, 57% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 10 PM ETConnor McDavid: 53% → 59%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Connor McDavid 57% ▼ 2 57¢ 59¢ $1.69 9.0K
Macklin Celebrini 11% ▼ 2 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 11.5K
Kirill Kaprizov 6% ▲ 1 4¢ 9¢ $10.99 5.3K
Nathan MacKinnon 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 11¢ $9.09 3.9K
Auston Matthews 3% 0¢ 7¢ $13.89 3.6K
Alexis Lafreniere 3% 1¢ 6¢ $17.54
Nikita Kucherov 2% 1¢ 15¢ $6.67 3.3K
Jack Hughes 2% 0¢ 4¢ $24.39 5.7K
David Pastrnak 2% 0¢ 4¢ $28.57 3.5K
Jack Eichel 2% 0¢ 4¢ $28.57 3.4K
Connor Bedard 2% 0¢ 4¢ $28.57 3.7K
Quinn Hughes 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 4.3K
Matthew Tkachuk 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 2.4K
Leon Draisaitl 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.7K
Cale Makar 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.0K
Mitch Marner 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.2K
Nick Suzuki 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.5K
Sidney Crosby 1% 0¢ 2¢ $55.56 2.9K
Pavel Dorofeyev 1% 2¢ $52.63
Igor Shesterkin 1% 2¢ $55.56 2.3K
Kyle Connor 1% 2¢ $55.56
Cole Caufield 1% 2¢ $62.50 2.1K
Connor Hellebuyck <1% 1¢ 2.4K
William Nylander <1% 1¢ 166
Andrei Vasilevskiy <1% 1¢
Mikko Rantanen <1% 1¢ 115
Brady Tkachuk <1% 1¢ 117
Artemi Panarin <1% 1¢ 311
Alex Ovechkin <1% 0¢ 1.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

58%Connor McDavid
  • Connor McDavid58%
  • Dylan Strome8%▲ 2
  • Kirill Kaprizov5%
  • Auston Matthews5%
114 more
  • Connor Bedard5%
  • Nathan MacKinnon4%
  • Macklin Celebrini4%▼ 8
  • Jack Eichel3%
  • Rasmus Dahlin3%
  • Stuart Skinner3%
  • Zach Werenski3%
  • J.T. Miller3%
  • Mitchell Marner3%
  • Dustin Wolf3%
  • Roman Josi3%
  • Logan Stankoven3%
  • Lucas Raymond3%
  • Nazem Kadri3%
  • Adrian Kempe3%
  • Jacob Markstrom3%
  • Quinton Byfield3%
  • Nikita Kucherov2%
  • Nikolaj Ehlers2%
  • Cale Makar2%
  • Logan Thompson2%
  • Jack Hughes2%
  • Evan Bouchard2%
  • Linus Ullmark2%
  • Evgeni Malkin2%
  • Alexander Ovechkin2%
  • Filip Gustavsson2%
  • Matt Boldy2%
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy2%
  • Jake Guentzel2%
  • Owen Tippett2%
  • Elias Pettersson2%
  • Sidney Crosby2%
  • David Pastrnak2%
  • Filip Forsberg2%
  • Ivan Demidov2%
  • Jake Oettinger2%
  • Adam Fox1%
  • Aleksander Barkov1%
  • Alexander Nikishin1%
  • Brad Marchand1%
  • Connor Hellebuyck1%
  • Andrei Svechnikov1%
  • Brock Faber1%
  • Claude Giroux1%
  • Igor Shesterkin1%
  • Miro Heiskanen1%
  • Alex DeBrincat1%
  • Elias Lindholm1%
  • Artemi Panarin1%
  • Cutter Gauthier1%
  • Darcy Kuemper1%
  • Dylan Larkin1%
  • Erik Karlsson1%
  • John-Jason Peterka1%
  • Juraj Slafkovsky1%
  • Martin Necas1%
  • Matt Duchene1%
  • Timo Meier1%
  • Alexis Lafrenière1%
PolymarketCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $232 today · $42.8K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: NHL Hart Memorial Trophy, Connor McDavid, Macklin Celebrini

Search ›
  • Connor McDavid Joins Exclusive Group of NHL Legends After Explosive 10-Game StartNDTV Sports · 37 h agoTo understand what McDavid has done, you have to look at who he is standing next to. Gretzky, who did it multiple times. Bossy, one of the most natural goal scorers ever to lace up skates. And Lemieux, who reached 30 points through 10…
  • Kirill Kaprizov scores just 26 into game as Wild roll past Seattle KrakenThe Seattle Times · 2 days agoKirill Kaprizov scored 26 seconds into the game and the Minnesota Wild defeated the Seattle Kraken 5-1 on Saturday night. Blake Coleman scored twice and Olli Maatta and Joel Eriksson Ek scored 1:27 apart to help the Wild (7-3-2) return to…
  • Kirill Kaprizov's early goal sets tone as Wild handle KrakenDeadspin · 2 days agoKirill Kaprizov scored his NHL-leading 12th goal of the season and added an assist as the Minnesota Wild defeated the host Seattle Kraken 5-1 Saturday night. Blake Coleman scored twice, including an empty-netter with 3:36 remaining, while…
  • Leafs’ Gavin McKenna Reveals True Thoughts On Connor McDavidHEAVY · 2 days agoThe Toronto Maple Leafs and Edmonton Oilers are facing one another in a Saturday evening showdown at Edmonton’s Rogers Place, marking the first time in the career of rookie forward Gavin McKenna that he’s facing Edmonton superstar captain…
  • Connor McDavid News: On pace to shatter Gretzky's point recordrotowire.com · 2 days agoRotoWire The cream always rises to the top, and McDavid is significantly above all other NHLers this season He now has a whopping 33 points (eight goals, 25 assists) in just 11 games Yes, McDavid is on pace to be only the second NHLer to…
  • Connor McDavid’s Hot Start Joins Elite Group of NHL LegendsHEAVY · 2 days agoEdmonton Oilers superstar Connor McDavid’s hot start this season has seen him join an elite group of NHL legends. McDavid has scored 31 points in just 10 games this season, and his incredible start to the season has him now in exclusive…
  • Oilers hope to brush off worst loss of season as Wings pay visitDeadspin · 29 h agoThe Edmonton Oilers suffered just one regulation loss while winning eight of their first 10 games en route to first place in the Western Conference. There was plenty of reason for optimism for Mike Babcock's squad. Then came the Saturday…
  • Daily Bean: Nikishin Ends Holdout; Heritage Classic; Bruins WrapYahoo Sports · 25 h agoThe Boston Bruins return to the practice rink today ahead of their two-game road trip, and they still hold a three-point lead atop the Atlantic Division. The Bruins were off yesterday after sweeping their two-game homestand. They took down…
  • Kaprizov scores early as Wild defeat Kraken 5-1CBS News · 36 h agoOctober 25, 2026 / 12:25 PM CDT / AP Kirill Kaprizov scored 26 seconds into the game and the Minnesota Wild defeated the Seattle Kraken 5-1 on Saturday night. Blake Coleman scored twice and Olli Maatta and Joel Eriksson Ek scored 1:27…
  • Auston Matthews reveals how Leafs can slow down Connor McDavid, OilersClutchPoints · 3 days agoThe Maple Leafs are facing off against a red-hot Oilers team. Matthews is speaking out about what Toronto needs to do to win. The Toronto Maple Leafs are facing off against the Edmonton Oilers on Saturday. Leafs star Auston Matthews is…
  • NHL roundup: Leafs erupt in third, rout Oilers for fourth straight winSRN News · 43 h agoJack Roslovic recorded a goal and an assist, while Auston Matthews, Troy Stecher, Zack MacEwen and Vinni Lettieri also scored and Kirill Marchenko nabbed two assists. For Edmonton, Leon Draisaitl scored twice and Connor McDavid and Evan…
  • Utah in action against Minnesota after overtime winFOX Sports · 22 h agoMinnesota Wild (8-3-2, in the Central Division) vs. Utah Mammoth (8-4, in the Central Division) Salt Lake City; Tuesday, 9 p.m. EDT BOTTOM LINE: The Minnesota Wild visit the Utah Mammoth after the Mammoth knocked off the Tampa Bay…

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  • Kylian Mbappé<1%▼ 18
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions