Natural gas price on Nov 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

Kalshi Finance › Commodities Closes today 5:00 PM ET · $61 today · $61 traded · $61 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

$2.95median

Natural Gas now 2.9470 −0.41%

$2.86$3.23

Median $2.95Middle half $2.90 – $3.00Above today's price 49%

How the odds have moved

Median: $2.95 on Nov 4, $2.95 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above $2.865	86%	▲ 29	84¢	88¢	$1.14	6.00
Above $2.870	85%	▲ 30	83¢	87¢	$1.15	7.00
Above $2.885	80%	▲ 29	78¢	82¢	$1.22
Above $2.890	78%	▲ 29	76¢	80¢	$1.25
Above $2.895	76%	▲ 28	74¢	78¢	$1.28
Above $2.900	73%	▲ 28	71¢	75¢	$1.33
Above $2.905	71%	▲ 27	69¢	73¢	$1.37
Above $2.910	68%	▲ 26	66¢	70¢	$1.43
Above $2.915	66%	▲ 25	64¢	68¢	$1.47
Above $2.920	63%	▲ 23	61¢	65¢	$1.54
Above $2.925	61%	▲ 23	59¢	63¢	$1.59
Above $2.930	58%	▲ 21	56¢	60¢	$1.67	65.00
Above $2.935	55%	▲ 20	53¢	56¢	$1.79	18.00
Above $2.940	53%	▲ 19	51¢	55¢	$1.82
Above $2.945	50%	▲ 17	48¢	52¢	$1.92
Above $2.950	47%	▲ 15	45¢	49¢	$2.04
Above $2.955	44%	▲ 14	42¢	46¢	$2.17
Above $2.960	42%	▲ 13	40¢	44¢	$2.27
Above $2.965	39%	▲ 11	37¢	41¢	$2.44
Above $2.970	37%	▲ 10	35¢	39¢	$2.56	1.00
Above $2.975	34%	▲ 8	32¢	36¢	$2.78	1.00
Above $2.980	32%	▲ 8	30¢	34¢	$2.94
Above $2.985	30%		28¢	32¢	$3.13
Above $2.990	28%		26¢	30¢	$3.33
Above $2.995	26%		24¢	28¢	$3.57
Above $3	24%		22¢	26¢	$3.85
Above $3.005	22%		20¢	24¢	$4.17
Above $3.010	20%		18¢	22¢	$4.55
Above $3.120	1%			31¢	$3.23	200

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: gas prices, gasoline, PM EST

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Trump blames gas prices for Republican midterm lossesFox Business · 20 h agoRepublican midterm losses spark reaction from President Donald Trump as he blames elevated gas prices for the election outcome. Edward Lawrence reports on the loss of seven Senate seats to Stuart Varney, highlighting how the president…
How the Iran War and gas prices shaped the 2026 midtermsCNBC · 15 h agoDid the Iran war and soaring gasoline prices cost Republicans control of Congress? CNBC's Voter Poll found that 74% of voters considered the war a crucial or major factor in their congressional vote. With gas prices averaging $4.15 a…
Gas prices the "decisive factor" in midterm elections: Wood MackenzieCNBC · 33 h agoCNBC Gas prices the "decisive factor" in midterm elections: Wood Mackenzie
Conservatives stunned by 'catastrophic' midterm blue tsunami, blame Trump's Iran war, high gas pricesFox News · 31 h agoThe 'Ruthless Podcast' co-hosts analyze Democrats' reported sweep in the 2026 midterm elections, including control of the House and Senate, on 'FOX News Democracy 26.' Conservatives were left stunned by the results of the 2026 midterm…
Petrobras keeps natural gas prices to distributors unchangedMarketScreener · 18 h agoPublished on 11/04/2026 at 01:07 pm EST US natgas prices rise to two-week high on lower output, cooler outlook November 04, 2026 at 03:09 pm EST A Blue Wave and a Green Wall Street A blue wave hits Washington Europe gets back in the game…
Laura Ingraham slams Democratic energy agenda over gas pricesFox News · 37 h agoFox News Laura Ingraham slams Democratic energy agenda over gas prices Fox News host Laura Ingraham criticizes Democrats’ energy policies, arguing their push to phase out gas-powered cars and appliances conflicts with their concerns over…
US gas prices hit Election Day recordsemafor.com · 39 h agoGas prices jumped as Americans headed to the polls, emphasizing how pressing the issue of fuel costs has become for voters. US gas prices hit Election Day record Average US gas prices topped $4 a gallon for the first time on an election…
Dana Perino: Gas prices were ‘outrageous’ under Biden, and Democrats didn’t say anythingFox News · 37 h agoFox News Dana Perino: Gas prices were ‘outrageous’ under Biden, and Democrats didn’t say anything A ‘FOX News Democracy 2026’ panel discusses the impact of energy prices, the Iran war and President Donald Trump’s economic messaging on…
UK Natural Gas Prices Move HigherTradingView · 30 h agoUK natural gas prices rose above 230 pence per therm on Wednesday after two consecutive days of declines, as markets assessed conflicting signals on the progress of US-Iran talks. Qatar said on Tuesday it saw hope for an interim agreement…
Iowa gas prices drop againKMAland.com · 18 h agoKMAland.com (Des Moines) -- Gas prices continue a downward trend in Iowa. Triple A Iowa's weekly fuel report indicates the price of unleaded gasoline averaged $3.97 per gallon across Iowa. That's down 17 cents from last week's price, and…
Pennsylvania voter bothered by gas prices, but still supports Trump and Iran warCNN · 41 h agoPA voter bothered by gas prices, but still supports Trump CNN Pennsylvania voter bothered by gas prices, but still supports Trump and Iran war Voter and self-identified Republican Ronald Turner told CNN's Danny Freeman he had doubts about…
Gas Prices Helped Democrats Win the Midterms — With a CatchHeatmap News · 17 h agoThe focus on affordability could put the party in a bind. It’s bad when gas prices are high. This was close to the consensus explanation for the size and scale of the Democratic victory on Tuesday, with even Donald Trump admitting it in…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onPyth - NATGAS

Trading closesNov 5, 2026 5:00 PM ET

Traded$61 (298 contracts)

Today$61

This week$61

At stake$61

Followed here sinceNov 4, 2026

The rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on November 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 2.850 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

Natural GasNG=F · settles on its price2.9470−0.41%
United States Natural Gas FundUNG · tracks it9.27+1.53%

From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions