Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Commodities Closes Nov 29 · $45.3K today · $45.4K traded · $8.4K at stake · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

$4.11median

$2.40$5.10

Median $4.11Middle half $3.96 – $4.26

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 2.50	99%	98¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 2.60	99%	98¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 2.70	99%	98¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 2.80	99%	98¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 2.90	99%	98¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 3.00	99%	98¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 3.10	99%	98¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 3.20	99%	98¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 3.30	99%	98¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 3.40	99%	98¢	99¢	$1.01
Above 3.50	97%	96¢	98¢	$1.02	2.2K
Above 3.60	97%	96¢	97¢	$1.03
Above 3.70	95%	94¢	95¢	$1.05	60.00
Above 3.80	91%	90¢	91¢	$1.10	11.0K
Above 3.90	84%	83¢	84¢	$1.19	13.4K
Above 4.00	70%	68¢	72¢	$1.39	17.2K
Above 4.10	52%	48¢	56¢	$1.79	12.4K
Above 4.20	35%	33¢	37¢	$2.70	699
Above 4.30	18%	17¢	19¢	$5.26	1.9K
Above 4.40	15%	14¢	16¢	$6.25	13.4K
Above 4.50	13%	11¢	14¢	$7.14	3.2K
Above 4.60	11%	10¢	11¢	$9.09	2.3K
Above 4.70	6%	5¢	6¢	$16.67	176
Above 4.80	4%	3¢	4¢	$25.00	6.5K
Above 4.90	3%	2¢	3¢	$33.33	2.2K
Above 5.00	3%	2¢	3¢	$33.33	2.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: gas prices, gasoline

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Rivian CEO on impact of high gas pricesCNBC · 43 h agoCNBC Rivian CEO on impact of high gas prices
ExxonMobil and Chevron top estimates for Q3 as Americans feel gas price painthe Guardian · 27 h agoBusiness is booming for two biggest US oil companies, with both benefiting from higher prices and record production ExxonMobil and Chevron both reported better than expected quarterly results on Friday as the oil majors benefited from…
A cold winter risks another gas price shock in Europe as stocks dwindle to record lowsCNBC · 30 h agoEuropean natural gas prices continue to rise as the continent's stocks are depleted to record lows, fueling fresh fears of a looming winter price shock. Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) futures for December delivery were last seen up…
Gas prices spike in blue states amid high taxes and energy policiesFox Business · 2 days agoGas prices in California and Massachusetts rise due to local energy policies and high taxes. Political commentator Joe Sweeny and Brian Brenberg analyze Massachusetts Governor Maura Healey's sudden pipeline policy shift. Sweeny argues that…
We found a way for you to save big on grocery and gas prices for only $15New York Post · 43 h agoTL;DR: Make your money go further with this 1-year BJ’s Club Membership with BJ’s Easy Renewal while it’s on sale for $15 (reg. $60). With gas prices on the rise, finding a way to make your money go further matters more than ever. The good…
Sky-high gas prices aren't shaking Trump's MAGA faithful in oil country as supporters warn of bigger threatFox News · 2 days agoTrump supporters spoke with Fox News Digital at the president's rallies in Corpus Christi and Lubbock, Texas, about rising costs, the country's future and what's driving their votes ahead of the midterms. TEXAS — Gas prices are soaring…
Key inflation gauge heats up thanks to high gas prices — day after Fed hits pause on rate hikesNew York Post · 2 days agoAn inflation gauge closely monitored by the Federal Reserve accelerated last month, showing that prices remain elevated less than a week before midterm elections in which the uncomfortably high cost of living for millions of Americans has…
Gas prices and oil speculationArs OpenForum · 4 days agoNon-us EV manufacturers have to be just salivating at the potential sales if these boneheaded decisions keep piling up. As long as their countries have tariffs on Chinese EV imports. Meanwhile the US ... Gas prices and oil speculation
Gas prices fall as refining margins shrink and energy stocks tumbleCNBC · 3 days agoMorgan Brennan reports on falling gasoline prices, shrinking refining margins, increasing global fuel supply and sharp declines in refinery stocks as consumers see potential relief at the pump. Gas prices fall as refining margins shrink…
Big Oil rakes in over $130B in profits as soaring gas prices squeeze consumers amid Iran warNew York Post · 25 h agoMore than 50 major US oil and gas companies have raked in over $130 billion in total profits during the ongoing Iran war as soaring gasoline and diesel prices squeeze consumers. That six-month haul, recorded between April and September…
LA pushes oil drilling shutdown despite industry warnings of lawsuits, gas price hikesCalifornia Post · 3 days agoLos Angeles is pushing ahead with a sweeping 20-year shutdown of oil drilling across the city after the Council voted 13-0 Wednesday, despite warnings from oil companies of costly lawsuits, property rights violations and increased…
Trump targets high energy costs as gas prices loom over midtermsFox Business · 4 days agoEnergy prices take center stage as President Donald Trump visits Texas ahead of the midterm elections. Jackie DeAngelis reports on WTI crude hovering near $100 a barrel as fuel costs remain elevated. Voters weigh high gas prices against…

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Finance › Commodities

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

$107.49high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $107.49.

Reaches $100>99%
Reaches $105>99%

Falls to $95<1%
Falls to $90<1%

Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90

Finance › Commodities

US gas prices tomorrow (Nov 1, 2026)

$4.17median

$4.14$4.23

Median $4.17Middle half $4.17 – $4.17

Finance › Commodities

US gas prices this week (Nov 2, 2026)

$4.17median

$4.08$4.52

Median $4.17Middle half $4.16 – $4.18

Finance › Commodities

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?

$59high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $59 and as low as $49.

Reaches $58>99%
Reaches $60<1%

Falls to $56>99%
Falls to $54>99%

Already reached: ↓ $62, ↓ $60, ↓ $58, ↓ $56, ↓ $60, ↑ $62

Finance › Commodities

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

94%↓ $4,000

Traders see as low as $3,853.

Reaches $4,200<1%
Reaches $4,300<1%

Falls to $4,10094%
Falls to $4,00094%

Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200

Finance › Commodities

Diesel price on Election Day (November 3, 2026)

$6.30median

$4.20$7.40

Median $6.30Middle half $6.24 – $6.36

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onAAA

Trading closesNov 29, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$45.4K (88,748 contracts)

Today$45.3K

This week$45.4K

At stake$8.4K

In the news35 headlines today, 406 this week

Followed here sinceOct 31, 2026

The rules

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Nov 30, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

GasolineRB=F · tracks it3.1565+2.21%
United States Gasoline Fund LPUGA · tracks it144.60+0.62%

From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions