Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Agent / Agentic
80%
76¢
89¢
$1.12
105
Copilot
79%
75¢
83¢
$1.20
Compute
70%
65¢
75¢
$1.33
1.00
Cloud
59%
55¢
63¢
$1.59
Security
58%
55¢
61¢
$1.64
Data Center
54%
50¢
57¢
$1.75
105
Token
49%
48¢
49¢
$2.04
113
GitHub
44%
32¢
43¢
$2.33
13.00
OpenAI
41%
▼ 10
43¢
55¢
$1.82
49.00
Cowork
35%
30¢
40¢
$2.50
AGI
35%
30¢
40¢
$2.50
Azure
34%
31¢
37¢
$2.70
12.00
Anthropic / Claude
28%
26¢
31¢
$3.23
Google / Gemini
23%
20¢
25¢
$4.00
ROI / Return On Investment
23%
20¢
25¢
$4.00
Nuclear
13%
10¢
16¢
$6.25
Event does not qualify
6%
1¢
10¢
$10.00
10.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York Times DealBook Summit, NYT DealBook Summit, Satya Nadella
Satya Nadella Says AI Agents Need a ‘Kill Switch’ to Prevent DamageMashable India · 2 days agoMicrosoft CEO Satya Nadella warns businesses about AI agent security risks and stresses the need for access controls, audit logs and emergency kill switches. Satya Nadella Says AI Agents Need a âKill Switchâ to Prevent Damage Microsoft…
Trump honours Nadella, Musk, five other tech giantsLokmat Times · 13 h agoWashington, Oct 9 US President Donald Trump has honoured six of America's leading technology pioneers, including Indian-origin Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, with the country's highest awards for scientific achievement and technological…
'It's been relentless' say IT workers on frontline of PHP cyber-security scrambleBBC News · 3 days agoHow did AI discover the internet's massive cyber-security risk? Microsoft boss Satya Nadella says he has not seen anything like the PHP emergency "in a long, long time". Referencing the ongoing global efforts to fix the critical…
The next-gen Xbox won’t cost you $1,800. It can’t. Can it?The Verge · 4 days agoDidn’t Microsoft say the next Xbox needed to be affordable? Fortune dropped a bombshell report on the future of gaming this week. According to the publication’s Microsoft insiders, the next Xbox is projected to cost between $1,200 and…
Jackson Wealth Management LLC Sells 124,508 Shares of Microsoft Corporation $MSFTDefense World · 6 h agoJackson Wealth Management LLC lessened its stake in Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT – Free Report) by 91.6% during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the SEC. The institutional investor owned…
Hacking Attempts Surge as Companies, Governments Rush to Patch PHP FlawsInsurance Journal · 9 h agoGlobal firms and governments rushed on Thursday to patch critical flaws in the PHP programming language that underpins much of the internet, as cloud firms reported a surge of hacking attempts after the vulnerabilities were disclosed. The…
68,966 Microsoft Corporation $MSFT Shares Bought by Benjamin Edwards Inc.Defense World · 29 h agoBenjamin Edwards Inc. lifted its position in Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT – Free Report) by 17.0% during the second quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund owned…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
