Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 26, 5 PM ETHarris Dickinson: 22% → 92%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Sadie Sink
99%
$1.01
2.6K
✓ Adam Driver
98%
$1.02
14.8K
✓ Kit Connor
97%
$1.03
5.2K
Harris Dickinson
92%
▲ 70
76¢
$1.09
221
Hunter Schafer
70%
▲ 48
69¢
70¢
$1.43
2.5K
Patrick Stewart
44%
▼ 28
43¢
44¢
$2.27
3.7K
Charles Melton
32%
▲ 15
29¢
35¢
$2.86
6.8K
Hugh Jackman
31%
▲ 18
30¢
32¢
$3.13
6.1K
James McAvoy
29%
▲ 1
27¢
31¢
$3.23
3.4K
Jesse Plemons
26%
22¢
30¢
$3.33
345
Joe Keery
25%
▲ 8
28¢
90¢
$1.11
8.5K
Pedro Pascal
23%
▲ 8
19¢
27¢
$3.70
2.5K
Glen Powell
22%
▲ 1
20¢
23¢
$4.35
2.0K
Jacob Elordi
21%
▲ 3
19¢
23¢
$4.35
978
Michael Fassbender
20%
▲ 17
16¢
24¢
$4.17
749
Nicholas Hoult
20%
▲ 4
16¢
23¢
$4.35
1.6K
Ian McKellen
18%
▼ 9
14¢
22¢
$4.55
353
Colman Domingo
17%
▼ 3
14¢
20¢
$5.00
4.0K
Julia Butters
16%
▲ 9
14¢
18¢
$5.56
656
Evan Peters
15%
▼ 5
12¢
18¢
$5.56
1.9K
Kelsey Grammer
14%
▼ 9
10¢
18¢
$5.56
252
Sophie Turner
13%
▲ 7
10¢
16¢
$6.25
2.3K
Denzel Washington
13%
▼ 2
9¢
16¢
$6.25
789
Austin Butler
13%
12¢
13¢
$7.69
3.4K
Margaret Qualley
12%
▼ 2
8¢
16¢
$6.25
1.0K
Ayo Edebiri
12%
▲ 3
11¢
13¢
$7.69
1.8K
Paul Mescal
12%
▼ 1
10¢
14¢
$7.14
456
Tye Sheridan
11%
▲ 5
8¢
14¢
$7.14
957
Drew Starkey
11%
7¢
15¢
$6.67
Daniel Radcliffe
10%
▼ 3
6¢
14¢
$7.14
719
Will Poulter
4%
▼ 1
3¢
5¢
$20.00
1.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
