Texas Senate winner? (2026)
64%James Talarico
- James Talarico64%▼ 2
- Ken Paxton37%▲ 1
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Michigan: Benson's margin vs. El-Sayed's margin? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
5.91median
-20018.0
Median 5.91Middle half 3.11 – 9.04
How the odds have moved
Median: 5.46 on Oct 20, 5.91 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El-Sayed by 3+ | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 936 | |
| El-Sayed by 0-3 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 800 |
| Benson by 0-3 | 19% | ▼ 3 | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 1.2K |
| Benson by 3-6 | 27% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 1.2K |
| Benson by 6-9 | 24% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 3.0K |
| Benson by 9-12 | 11% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 893 |
| Benson by 12-15 | 5% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.1K |
| Benson by 15+ | 9% | ▲ 3 | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan, Benson, El-Sayed
Search ›-
Obama Tests His Midwest Magic With Michigan, Ohio Stops for El-Sayed, BrownOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Former President Barack Obama returns to Michigan and Ohio on Saturday to test his enduring political pull in two crucial Rust Belt states where he won two decisive victories, entering the fray just 10 days… -
Michigan Senate rivals clash over Muslim Brotherhood allegations as Rogers doubles down on El-Sayed2026 Midterms, Detroit MI, Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed, Election Special, AI Agent, Banking Hack, Auto Tariff, Michigan Voters Michigan Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed accused Republican rival Mike Rogers of questioning his… -
Four Jewish Michigan voters split over Rogers and El-SayedA panel of Jewish voters shares their views on Michigan's Senate candidates ahead of Election Day on 'The Story.' ... Four Jewish Michigan voters split over Rogers and El-Sayed A panel of Jewish voters shares their views on Michigan's… -
Michigan US Senate battle: El-Sayed, Rogers spar in final debateFox News Michigan US Senate battle: El-Sayed, Rogers spar in final debate Fox News senior national correspondent Rich Edson reports on Michigan voters' reactions to the U.S. Senate debate between Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed as Election… -
El-Sayed, Rogers trade barbs at final Michigan Senate debateCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. El-Sayed, Rogers… -
Obama to rally with El-Sayed, Benson in Detroit on Oct. 24Former president Barack Obama is joining Michigan Democratic hopefuls to campaign this weekend. Obama will rally voters on Saturday, Oct. 24 in Detroit with Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, Secretary of State ... Obama to rally with El-Sayed, Benson in… -
Rogers and El-Sayed clash in fiery final Michigan Senate debateFox News Rogers and El-Sayed clash in fiery final Michigan Senate debate Bill McGurn discusses the final debate clash between Michigan Senate candidates Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed. Rogers accuses El-Sayed of ties to the Muslim… -
El-Sayed, Rogers spar over each other's loyalties in final Michigan Senate debateCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. El-Sayed, Rogers… -
Rogers, El-Sayed hold final Michigan Senate debate before midterm electionCBS News Rogers, El-Sayed hold final Michigan Senate debate before midterm election A look into Sterling Heights City Council vote on Flock cameras Michigan coney island regular remembered for his positive impact Guitars stolen from 90s… -
Abdul El-Sayed's Appeal to Black Voters Jumped on By ConservativesOct 23, 2026 at 11:48 AM EDT Several conservative accounts on X have criticized Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed as "pandering" to Black voters after he was seen ordering fried chicken while discussing his efforts to… -
Exclusive / El-Sayed’s new ad pitch: Republicans love meThe Michigan progressive, locked in a close Senate race, is spotlighting the praise he’s gotten from conservative pundits. The ScoopMichigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayedâs campaign is launching a new TV ad with a unique… - Michigan paper declares it won't seek comment from Mike Rogers due to 'lies and bigoted attacks' on El-SayedA Michigan newspaper declared Wednesday it will no longer seek comment from the campaign of Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers over what it described as his "lies and bigoted attacks" against his Democratic rival, Abdul El-Sayed. "For…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.