Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton36%▼ 1
Install
Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
11.9median
-20024.0
Median 11.9Middle half 8.41 – 15.1
How the odds have moved
Median: 12.2 on Oct 20, 11.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson by 0+ | 5% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.4K | |
| Pingree by 0-4 | 5% | ▲ 3 | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 335 |
| Pingree by 4-8 | 12% | 8¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 63.00 | |
| Pingree by 8-12 | 29% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 3.9K |
| Pingree by 12-16 | 32% | ▼ 1 | 25¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 2.3K |
| Pingree by 16-20 | 9% | 5¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 79.00 | |
| Pingree by 20+ | 8% | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 727 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine, Pingree, Jackson
Search ›-
AOC campaigns for Troy Jackson in Maine; Tafoya makes strides in MinnesotaNew York progressive Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is campaigning for Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson. Meanwhile, the Senate race in typically blue Minnesota is tightening. CBS News' Taurean Small reports. AOC supports… -
AOC campaigns for Troy Jackson in Maine and slams Susan CollinsCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. AOC campaigns for… -
Maine Senate race tied as poll shows Collins, Jackson in dead heatFox News poll reveals a statistically tied race for the Maine Senate seat between Republican Susan Collins and Democrat challenger Troy Jackson. Former Clinton advisor Doug Schoen discusses the implications for both parties. Maine Senate… -
AOC Motivates Dem Base for Troy Jackson in Maine Battleground Senate RaceOct 22, 2026 at 04:25 PM EDT U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Thursday joined Democrat Troy Jackson on the campaign trail, aiming to boost his voter support in the critical Maine U.S. Senate race. Maine's Senate battle is… -
Maine firefighters union endorses Collins, PingreeWELLS, Maine (WABI/WMTW) - The Professional Firefighters of Maine and International Association of Fire Fighters endorsed candidates from both parties Thursday, backing Sen. Susan Collins and gubernatorial candidate Hannah Pingree. Collins… -
Maine Professional Fire Fighters union endorses Hannah Pingree for governor.newscentermaine.com Maine Professional Fire Fighters union endorses Hannah Pingree for governor. To stream NCM on your phone, you need the NCM app. Download the NCM app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video Before… -
AOC teams up with Maine Democratic Senate nominee Troy Jackson for town hallCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. AOC, Troy Jackson… -
WATCH LIVE: Rep. AOC and Troy Jackson hold student town hall in MaineRep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez joins Maine U.S. Senate nominee Troy Jackson at a "Students vs. Billionaires" town hall in Portland to address rising tuition costs, rent prices, and corporate influence in government. WATCH LIVE: Rep. AOC and… -
Trump’s tariffs loom over Maine Senate race between Collins and JacksonPORTLAND, Maine — The same week President Donald Trump imposed 50% tariffs on imported steel, the domestic supplier of the wire mesh Mark Brooks uses to make lobster traps in Maine hiked prices by 20%. "It's basically the worst business… -
AOC proclaims she’s a ‘girl’s girl’ while ripping pols for caving on transgender rights, stumping for Troy Jackson in MaineWASHINGTON — Queens and Bronx Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez laced into Democrats who have caved on transgender issues, touting herself as a “girls’ girl” while stumping for Maine Senate hopeful Troy Jackson. During a town hall in Portland… -
Collins and Jackson Bring Longtime Rivals Manchin, AOC Into Maine FightOct 20, 2026 at 03:06 PM EDT Oct 21, 2026 at 02:53 PM EDT Senator Susan Collins was joined on the campaign trail by former Senator Joe Manchin on Wednesday as she faces a competitive challenge from Democrat Troy Jackson in Maine's U.S… -
Troy Jackson rallies union supporters as US Senate race in Maine enters final stretchWith 10 days until the midterm election, Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Troy Jackson rallied union members and campaign volunteers Saturday, emphasizing his support for working Mainers while criticizing Republican incumbent Sen. Susan…
Related markets
All senate ›Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
63%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party63%▼ 4
- Republican Party37%▲ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
64%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)64%
- Ken Paxton (R)37%
Michigan Senate Election Winner
72%Abdul El-Sayed (D)
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)72%▲ 1
- Mike Rogers (R)28%▼ 1
Alaska Senate winner? (2026)
75%Democratic party
- Democratic party75%▼ 1
- Republican party25%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
65%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep65%▼ 2
- D-House, R-Senate26%▲ 1
- Republicans sweep9%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.