Brazil Presidential Election
68%Flávio Bolsonaro
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Malacca state election winner? (2026)
The odds
80%BN
- BN80%
- PH16%
- PN4%
How the odds have moved
BN: 80% on Oct 19, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BN | 80% | 76¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | ||
| PH | 16% | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| PN | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Malacca
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Experts: PN should move fast after deregistration to salvage Malacca pollsWith the Kuala Lumpur High Court set to hear Perikatan Nasional’s legal challenge this morning, the deregistered coalition faces a race against time to salvage its electoral plans less than two weeks before the Malacca state election… -
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Tok Mat: N Sembilan crisis won't derail BN's Malacca polls prepThe crisis in Negeri Sembilan is not expected to affect BN preparations for the Malacca state election next month, said Umno deputy president Mohamad Hasan. He said the key to securing victory was to ensure that its election machinery… -
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PAS accepts reality of BN leading Malacca, cooperation to continuePAS president Abdul Hadi Awang has acknowledged that BN will lead Malacca and that his party will be part of the government should they win the state election next month. “We are continuing our efforts (on cooperation). We accept the… -
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PN says Malacca election talks with prospective partners 'around 100pct' completeAsked in Parliament today whether talks had reached 98 or 99 percent, Takiyuddin (above) replied: “It is around 100 percent.” He said discussions on seat allocation had been ongoing for some time, involving both its prospective partners… -
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Two MPs sue Malacca state govt over appointed reps motionTwo Malacca MPs have filed a lawsuit against the state government over the passing of the Malacca State Constitution (Amendment) Bill 2026, which allows the addition of up to seven appointed members of the state legislative assembly. Kota… - China’s New Laos Air Base Could Complicate US Military Operations in Andaman Sea, Malacca Strait: ReportChina inaugurated the air force support and training centre at Ban Keun Airport in Laos on September 29. The facility marks China’s first publicly acknowledged overseas military installation centred on air power and its third overseas…
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PN seeks urgent court hearing over ROS notices ahead of Malacca pollsPerikatan Nasional has filed a judicial review application challenging two notices issued by the Registrar of Societies (ROS), seeking an urgent court hearing before the Election Commission decides the date for the Malacca polls. PN…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions