Brazil Presidential Election
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Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? (Oct 27, 2026)
The odds
22.5median
1438
Median 22.5Middle half 21.0 – 25.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 22.0 on Oct 20, 22.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 17 | 91% | ▲ 4 | 31¢ | $1.10 | 851 | |
| Above 20 | 91% | ▲ 32 | 11¢ | $1.10 | 1.4K | |
| Above 23 | 42% | ▲ 1 | 39¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 4.4K |
| Above 24 | 33% | ▼ 3 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 710 |
| Above 26 | 24% | ▲ 6 | 20¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 17.9K |
| Above 29 | 4% | ▼ 15 | 4¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 9.3K |
| Above 32 | 3% | ▼ 5 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 3.4K | |
| Above 35 | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 325 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Likud
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Final poll: Eisenkot leads, Likud surgesChannel 12 poll gives anti-Netanyahu bloc 70 Knesset seats, but only 56 without Arab parties, as bloc's voters largely prefer minority government relying on United Arab List for support. Final poll: Eisenkot leads, Likud surges -
Likud: Election Committee Can Send Representative to Security Meeting With Police ChiefLikud announced following the scheduled meeting with Police Commissioner Danny Levy and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir that this is a "continuation of a security briefing held with all security establishment heads in light of… -
Yisrael Beiteinu: Merger with Likud won’t make Lieberman PMYisrael Beiteinu has denied reports that party leader Avigdor Lieberman would become prime minister under a secret pact between his movement and Likud. “There is no pact for rotation in the role of prime minister,” Yisrael Beiteinu… -
Likud candidates make final push, tout Netanyahu’s leadership ahead of Israeli electionAs Israel’s Oct. 27 national election swiftly approaches, members of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s ruling Likud party are hitting the campaign trail to explain why they believe they best represent voters’ interests. “We can feel the… -
Netanyahu's Likud Seeking 'Creative Ideas' to Track Voter Turnout Despite Top Court Ruling, Sources SayAfter the High Court of Justice barred software monitoring real-time voter turnout, Likud is seeking a new way to utilize its database of about one million voters to identify supporters who have yet to cast ballots and urge them to go out… - Likud ordered to remove misleading campaign signs, fails to comply with rulingCentral Elections Committee Chairman Justice Noam Sohlberg ordered local authorities on Saturday night to remove Likud campaign signs after the party failed to comply with an order issued following a petition by the Yashar party. Eisenkot…
- Israel Election 2026: Netanyahu's Likud party trails Eisenkot's YasharJust two days before Israelis head to the polls, the four latest election surveys show a similar picture: Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party leads Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud, but neither of the two major political blocs has enough…
- Dan Illouz: Leaving Netanyahu's Likud and choosing conviction over party linesAs many who have followed the news in Israel have noted, the constant squabbling between political parties is a major contributor – if not the outright cause – of many of the problems this country faces internally. And that is what makes…
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Netanyahu’s Likud Trails Eisenkot’s Yashar In Israeli Pre-poll Surveys – AnalysisBy P. K. Balachandran According to the latest opinion surveys published by The Jerusalem Post, Prime Minister Benjamin Natanyahu’s Likud party is trailing behind Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. The elections carry global importance given the… -
Election Panel Orders Likud to Pull Signs of Eisenkot Bloc Party Leaders With Arab MKsElection committee chair Justice Noam Sohlberg ruled the Likud billboards misleading, as they identify as Likud advertisements in Arabic text while hung in areas where most residents do not read Arabic Election committee chair Justice Noam… -
Rav Maya: Likud Voters Lose Olam HabaThe eldest member of Shas's Council of Torah Sages issued the declaration against anyone casting a Likud ballot, as the party steps up its rhetoric before the October 27 election. Rav Maya shlita, the eldest member of the Council of Torah… -
ELECTION RULING: Judge Orders Likud To Remove Anti-Eisenkot Campaign Posters Before ShabbosCentral Elections Committee Chairman Justice Noam Sohlberg ordered Likud on Friday to remove election campaign posters targeting Gadi Eisenkot by 3:30 p.m., ruling that the advertisements could mislead voters just days before Israel’s…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions