When will Manon leave Katseye? (Before 2027)

Kalshi Culture Closes Jul 1, 2027 · $5 today · $11.1K traded · $5.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

60%Before July 2027
  • Before July 202760%▲ 55
  • Before 202728%▲ 2
  • Before December8%▲ 6
  • Before April 20274%
  • Before November2%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Before July 2027: 60% on Oct 20, 60% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 8 PM ETBefore July 2027: 12% → 64%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before July 2027 60% ▲ 55 12¢ 67¢ $1.49 650
Before 2027 28% ▲ 2 28¢ 33¢ $3.03 29.5K
Before December 8% ▲ 6 8¢ 19¢ $5.26 14.0K
Before October 5% $20.00 6.7K
Before April 2027 4% 4¢ 62¢ $1.61 588
Before November 2% ▲ 1 5¢ $20.00 11.1K
Before September 1% $100.00 1.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Manon, Katseye, Before December

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions