Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Oct 2026?

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Sat 11:59 PM ET · $2 today · $68 traded · $66 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

4%chance▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 3% on Oct 19, 4% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 4% ▲ 1 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Congress

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  • Majority Whip Emmer says Omar’s ‘days are numbered’ in Congress amid federal scrutinyFox News · 34 h agoFox News Majority Whip Emmer says Omar’s ‘days are numbered’ in Congress amid federal scrutiny House Majority Whip Rep. Tom Emmer, R-Minn., comments on DOJ investigations into Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., over potential immigration fraud and…
  • Voters angry about high prices may get little relief from the next CongressThe Washington Post · 44 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. If voters expect a new…
  • Abdul El-Sayed parlayed his race-obsessed medical research to fast-track, fund journey to Congress: criticsNew York Post · 41 h agoMichigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed turned his weird science into a stepping stone, exploiting identity politics in academia to fast-track and fund his journey to Congress, according to critics and a Post review of his…
  • ESMO Congress: Gynecologic Cancers | ESMO Congress | OncLive@onclive · 31 h agoAdding pembrolizumab to adjuvant radiation did not meet prespecified superiority criteria in patients with stage I/II high-intermediate–risk dMMR endometrioid endometrial cancer in the phase 3 NRG-GY020 trial. Interim DUO-E data showed…
  • ESMO Congress: GU Cancers | ESMO Congress | OncLive@onclive · 28 h agoAdding darolutamide to androgen deprivation and primary or salvage radiation lowered metastasis risk in very high-risk localized prostate cancer. Darren R. Feldman, MD, details early response and disease control findings with a claudin…
  • France RN CongressPost Register · 37 h agoPost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Jordan Bardella, president of France's far-right National Rally party, delivers a speech at the party's 19th congress in Orleans, France, Saturday…
  • OPED-CONGRESS-OMAR-RAID-EDITORIAL-FILEPIC-MSYakima Herald-Republic · 33 h agoYakima Herald-Republic Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., speaks with reporters following a visit to Karmel Mall in Minneapolis on Jan. 28. There was a problem reporting this. Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or…
  • Moily’s autobiography highlights Congress’ missed reform opportunityThe Sunday Guardian · 33 h agoElectoral outcomes in India are increasingly shaped by money power, caste alignments and religious polarisation rather than merit, service or integrity, says former Union Law Minister and former Karnataka Chief Minister Dr M. Veerappa…
  • Opinion: Voters should send James, Bohannan to CongressThe Gazette · 33 h agoDemocrat Lindsay James (left) and Republican Joe Mitchell are vying in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District. Voters in Iowa’s 1st and 2nd congressional districts will see new and familiar names on their ballots in this fall’s election. In…
  • McMahon plans to 'fire' herself out of a job, striving to show Congress that the Dept of Ed is not neededFox News · 2 days agoLinda McMahon asks Congress to let her prove the Department of Education can be dismantled without disrupting federal student loans or K-12 funding. U.S. Education Secretary Linda McMahon doubled down on closing the Department of Education…
  • Congress gives SP a list of seats it wantsThe Sunday Guardian · 33 h agoWith the Congress submitting a list of nearly 200 seats to the Samajwadi Party for an alliance in the crucial 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections, party sources said general secretary Priyanka Gandhi Vadra will personally monitor the…
  • Only Congress can defend our right to private conversationWorldNetDaily · 33 h agoBy Bob Goodlatte, Real Clear Wire Imagine you’re walking through a quiet park with your best friend. You lower your voices and speak privately about something very personal and sensitive. You need no government permission to have this…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions