Brazil Presidential Election
66%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro66%▼ 17
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva34%▲ 17
Install
Lai Ching-te departure announced?
The odds
28%Before January 1, 2028
- Before January 1, 20274%
- Before July 1, 202711%
- Before January 1, 202828%
How the odds have moved
Before January 1, 2027: 4% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before January 1, 2027 | 4% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.99 | 3.0K | |
| Before July 1, 2027 | 11% | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 10.9K | |
| Before January 1, 2028 | 28% | 24¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 4.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Lai Ching-te Exit Date, Lai Ching-te
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In seeking peace with Beijing, Taipei is an asset, not a burden'On its end, the West can never afford to yield on Taiwan's right to self-determination' In seeking peace with Beijing, Taipei is an asset, not a burden On October 10, in his Republic of China National Day address, Taiwanese President Lai… -
China Compass | A tale of two National Days: China and Taiwan compete to be a model for the worldFirstpost On 30 September, Communist Party of China General Secretary and Peopleâs Republic of China (PRC) President Xi Jinping delivered a speech to mark the 77th anniversary of the countryâs founding Across the Taiwan Strait, the… -
What's holding up Washington's $14b arms sale to Taiwan?Taiwan has been waiting months for US President Donald Trump to approve a $14 billion sale of weapons and equipment, which the island democracy would use to fend off a potential Chinese attack. Washington -- Taipei's most important… -
3 Lexington amendments to 'local constitution' proposed to city votersFollowing the city's first Civic Assembly earlier this year, Lexington voters will decide the fate of three proposed amendments to the Urban Charter during the Nov. 3 election. In an interview with CBS News after Stephen Hubbard was… -
Flooding rain in parts of New Mexico & cooling downIn an interview with CBS News after Stephen Hubbard was released from Russian custody, his son, Fr. Joseph Coleman, said his father might have made a mistake in staying in Ukraine when the war began. Steve Witkoff lauded Vladimir Putin as… -
The Hidden Socialist Threat on the HorizonArtificial intelligence discovered the vulnerability in the PHP programming language. The issue could allow attackers to steal personal data. The IRGC again warned the U.S. against the resumption of military action. By Fransiska Nangoy… -
Massachusetts bill could hinder push to weatherize lower-income homesMassachusetts has made meaningful strides in recent years to get its robust energy-efficiency incentives into the hands of lower-income households who need them most. The energy bill provision somewhat confusingly targets only… -
8th annual Crush the Crisis with Methodist Healthcare | Great Day SABukangi the shark became an unlikely sensation after it was spotted in a canal in Busan weeks ago. A man is arrested on suspicion of the production of cannabis after a raid on the Wheatsheaf pub. A powerful typhoon headed towards Taiwan on… - Taiwan deported Chinese student over video with president — ABC News AustraliaOn October 16, Taiwan deported a Chinese exchange student who posted a video on Douyin featuring an optical illusion that made it appear as though he was pinching President Lai Ching-te. His entry permit was revoked, and he was banned from…
- What’s holding up Washington’s US$14bil arms sale to Taiwan?Washington — Taipei’s most important security backer — has sold many billions of dollars’ worth of arms to Taiwan, most recently in December when it approved a record US$11.1 billion package. China opposes American military support for…
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Illinois' 4th Congressional District candidates make case to votersIllinois' 4th Congressional District candidates Patty Garcia, Chris Getty, Lupe Castillo and Ed Hershey made their case to voters for the election. Bukangi the shark became an unlikely sensation after it was spotted in a canal in Busan… - Chinese exchange student deported from Taiwan after video appearing to 'pinch' presidentA screenshot from the Chinese student's video in which he uses an optical illusion to appear to pinch Taiwanese president Lai Ching-te. (Douyin) A Chinese exchange student has been deported from Taiwan after posting a video of himself…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
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