Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment? (Before 2028)
9%chance
Install
Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules? (Before Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 19, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 9.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Supreme Court, SCOTUS, USPS
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Supreme Court recusals over books raise questions about policyNPR Supreme Court recusals over books raise questions about policy A publishing dispute has highlighted the issue of recusals by Supreme Court justices. We take a look at the court's policy and its impact. NPR does not offer or accept… -
Justice Elena Kagan accuses Supreme Court’s conservative majority of undermining democracyWASHINGTON — Liberal Justice Elena Kagan on Tuesday sharply criticized the Supreme Court’s conservative majority, saying it undermined democracy in a series of rulings, including several that have prompted a new wave of legislative… -
New Hampshire urges Supreme Court to reinstate student ID voting ban ahead of electionWashington Examiner New Hampshire officials are urging the Supreme Court to lift a last-minute block on a state law barring student identification cards from being used as valid forms of ID to vote, weeks ahead of the hotly contested… - Supreme Court’s conservatives have let down democracy, Justice Kagan saysTwo weeks before the midterm elections, liberal Justice Elena Kagan bluntly sized up the Supreme Court handling of election and voting-related cases, saying, “The court has kind of blinded itself to the very deleterious effects of their…
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Supreme Court Issues Open Warrant Premalal JayasekaraCOLOMBO (News 1st); The Supreme Court today (21) issued an open warrant for the arrest of former Minister Premalal Jayasekara, who was previously sentenced to death after being convicted in connection with the fatal shooting of a man and… -
Supreme Court halts final candidate list in AP municipal pollsThe Supreme Court on Wednesday asked the Andhra Pradesh State Election Commission to decide by Thursday on YSRCP’s plea to extend the nomination deadline for Urban Local Body elections in areas where candidates were allegedly unable to… -
Justice Kagan Warns Supreme Court Rulings Are Fueling PolarizationThe liberal-leaning justice said both political parties are “in a race to the bottom” with partisan gerrymanders. Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan sharply criticized the court’s majority rulings. (Francis Chung/POLITICO via AP) October… -
Kagan Criticizes Supreme Court Rulings at Catholic UniversitySupreme Court Justice Elena Kagan said on Oct. 20 in Washington, D.C., that recent rulings by the court have weakened U.S. democracy, while also arguing the 6-3 conservative bench should not be seen as automatically aligned with President… -
Supreme Court stays vigilance probe against Pinarayi Vijayan in CMRL case, FIR to remainThe Supreme Court flagged inconsistencies in the Kerala High Court order directing an FIR in the CMRL case and cautioned the ED against exceeding its jurisdiction. New Delhi: The Supreme Court on Wednesday stayed the vigilance… -
Mahmoud Khalil asks Supreme Court to hear deportation caseWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Justice Kagan says Supreme Court conservatives have weakened democracyElena Kagan criticized the Supreme Court’s handling of election cases, arguing that its rulings have harmed the political system as the midterm elections approach. Speaking Tuesday at a Catholic University law event, Kagan said the court… -
‘Citizens can challenge false poll affidavits without ECI sanction’, says Supreme CourtThe Supreme Court has ruled that any private person can approach a magistrate with a criminal complaint against an elected representative for allegedly filing a false affidavit in an election, holding that such complaints do not require…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.