Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 83
- Flávio Bolsonaro<1%▼ 83
Install
Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election? (Before Oct 27, 2027)
The odds
16%Itamar Ben-Gvir
- Itamar Ben-Gvir16%
- Yoram Cohen13%▲ 1
- Bezalel Smotrich4%
- Matan Kahana4%
- Yitzhak Wasserlauf4%▼ 1
- Ofer Winter3%▼ 1
- Ram Ben-Barak3%
- Talya Lankri3%
- Yoaz Hendel3%
- Amir Ohana2%
- Eli Cohen2%
- Amichai Eliyahu1%
12 more
- Avi Dichter1%
- Chili Tropper1%
- Elazar Stern1%
- Gideon Sa'ar1%
- Haim Katz1%
- Hamad Amar1%
- Limor Son Har-Melech1%
- Meirav Ben-Ari1%
- Tally Gotliv1%
- Yair Golan1%
- Yoav Segalovitz1%
- Yossi Cohen1%
How the odds have moved
Itamar Ben-Gvir: 14% on Oct 20, 16% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itamar Ben-Gvir | 16% | 14¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 3.7K | |
| Yoram Cohen | 13% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 873 |
| Bezalel Smotrich | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 100 | ||
| Matan Kahana | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 99.00 | ||
| Yitzhak Wasserlauf | 4% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.9K | |
| Ofer Winter | 3% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 60.00 | |
| Ram Ben-Barak | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| Talya Lankri | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| Yoaz Hendel | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| Amir Ohana | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 3.2K | ||
| Eli Cohen | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| Amichai Eliyahu | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.2K | ||
| Avi Dichter | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.5K | ||
| Chili Tropper | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.1K | ||
| Elazar Stern | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.8K | ||
| Gideon Sa'ar | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.8K | ||
| Haim Katz | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.8K | ||
| Hamad Amar | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.1K | ||
| Limor Son Har-Melech | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.2K | ||
| Meirav Ben-Ari | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.3K | ||
| Tally Gotliv | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.8K | ||
| Yair Golan | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.6K | ||
| Yoav Segalovitz | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.1K | ||
| Yossi Cohen | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Itamar Ben-Gvir, Yoram Cohen, Bezalel Smotrich
Search ›- Israel Election 2026: Benjamin Netanyahu, Itamar Ben-Gvir backed Ra'am in 2021, Bezalel Smotrich saysNational Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir (Otzma Yehudit) and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu agreed in 2021 to a proposed coalition arrangement with Ra'am, Finance Minister and Religious Zionist Party chairman Bezalel Smotrich told…
- Benjamin Netanyahu must reject unity government with Gadi Eisenkot, Itamar Ben-Gvir tells 'Post' | The Jerusalem PostFar-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir sharply criticized Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s alleged desire to form a “unity government” with Yashar party leader Gadi Eisenkot in an interview with The Jerusalem Post this…
-
Bezalel Smotrich on his meritsWhy accomplishments and a realistic understanding of political power must be the main factors behind the votes of Israel’s identity-politicized Religious Zionists. Opinion. Bezalel Smotrich on his merits -
Israeli forces begin demolishing Palestinian buildings in Hebron after two Israeli soldiers shot deadDiggers were seen demolishing Palestinian homes on Friday afternoon The Israeli military has begun demolishing Palestinian buildings in the city of Hebron, after two Israeli soldiers were killed in an attack by two Palestinian gunmen… -
Bill Ackman: 'Govt. without Ben Gvir, Smotrich would help Israel diplomatically'American billionaire investor Bill Ackman weighed in on Israel's political future ahead of the Knesset elections, arguing that a government formed without National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir and Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich… -
The joint slate is dominated by RZP candidates, with Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich first and former Likud MK Moshe Feiglin second.Smotrich’s party grew out of the National Union–Tkuma joint list. Although RZP inherited a formal rabbinical committee from its predecessor, its contemporary leadership operates primarily through Smotrich and the party’s elected… -
Israeli far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir in RamlaThe Lufkin Daily News Israeli far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, leader of the Jewish Power (Otzma Yehudit) party, reacts as he tours a market, ahead of Israel's national election, in Ramla, Israel, October 14, 2026… -
Netanyahu Outlines Future Cabinet Role for Itamar Ben-GvirIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced on Monday that Itamar Ben-Gvir, the leader of the far-right Otzma Yehudit party, is set to occupy a senior ministerial role in the upcoming government. The announcement comes as political… - Bezalel Smotrich offers Ofer Winter ministerial post to drop out of Knesset raceThe Jerusalem Post Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich offered People of Israel party leader Ofer Winter a ministerial position in the Defense Ministry in exchange for withdrawing from the October 27 election, less than a week before…
-
Israel: Ron Lauder has something to say about Netanyahu. Wow.https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/elections/2026-10-22/ty-article-magazine/.highlight/what-he-did-was-outrageous-netanyahus-former-confidant-ron-lauder-speaks-out/000001a1-636c-da9a-a7e5… This content is not subject to review by Daily… -
Cryptocurrencies cannot circumvent sanctions: Bank of Israel responds to NetanyahuOctober 25, 2026 at 9:36 am The Bank of Israel said Saturday that cryptocurrencies cannot be used to circumvent potential economic sanctions in response to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s proposal to prepare alternative financial… -
Israel Election 2026: Can Netanyahu Retain Power? Key Issues, Opposition Leaders, Major Parties and Numbers That Could Decide the ResultVoters will elect all 120 members of the Knesset, Israel’s parliament. Alongside accountability for the October 7 attack, major campaign issues include compulsory military service for ultra-Orthodox men, the rising cost of living and…
Related markets
All around the world ›Brazil Presidential election winner?
99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva99%▲ 82
- Flávio Bolsonaro1%▼ 82
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
99%Student List – Students Win
- Student List – Students Win99%▲ 71
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia<1%▼ 71
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
98%Lula da Silva <4%
- Lula da Silva <4%98%▲ 83
- Lula da Silva 4-8%2%▲ 1
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%<1%▼ 44
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+<1%▼ 1
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%<1%▼ 4
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%<1%▼ 35
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
69%Yashar
- Yashar69%▼ 2
- Likud30%▲ 2
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Next French Presidential Election
43%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen43%▼ 3
- Édouard Philippe16%▼ 2
- David Lisnard14%▲ 1
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%
- Raphaël Glucksmann4%▼ 1
- François Hollande3%
- Bruno Retailleau1%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Christine Lagarde<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions