Brazil Presidential Election
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Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? (Before Oct 27, 2027)
The odds
12%Michael Malchieli
- Michael Malchieli12%
- Yoav Ben-Tzur10%▲ 2
- Avigdor Lieberman4%
- Aryeh Deri4%
- Chili Tropper3%
- Oded Forer3%
- Ofir Katz3%
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen3%
- Yair Golan3%
- Yoram Cohen3%
- Haim Biton3%
- Keren Terner Eyal3%
17 more
- Amir Ohana2%
- David Amsalem2%
- Eli Cohen2%
- Gideon Sa'ar2%
- Israel Katz2%
- Miki Zohar2%
- Miri Regev2%
- Yariv Levin2%
- Yinon Azulay2%
- Ayelet Shaked1%
- Gadi Eisenkot1%
- Gilad Kariv1%
- Meirav Cohen1%
- Moshe Gafni1%
- Naama Lazimi1%
- Naftali Bennett1%
- Yitzhak Goldknopf1%
How the odds have moved
Michael Malchieli: 13% on Oct 19, 12% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Malchieli | 12% | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 3.1K | |
| Yoav Ben-Tzur | 10% | ▲ 2 | 6¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 746 |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.9K | ||
| Aryeh Deri | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.3K | ||
| Chili Tropper | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 26.00 | ||
| Oded Forer | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 26.00 | ||
| Ofir Katz | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 500 | |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 26.00 | ||
| Yair Golan | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 30.00 | ||
| Yoram Cohen | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Haim Biton | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 26.00 | ||
| Keren Terner Eyal | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| Amir Ohana | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 26.00 | ||
| David Amsalem | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| Eli Cohen | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| Gideon Sa'ar | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 26.00 | ||
| Israel Katz | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| Miki Zohar | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 26.00 | ||
| Miri Regev | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| Yariv Levin | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| Yinon Azulay | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 338 | ||
| Ayelet Shaked | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.1K | ||
| Gadi Eisenkot | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.5K | ||
| Gilad Kariv | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.0K | ||
| Meirav Cohen | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.6K | ||
| Moshe Gafni | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 8.0K | ||
| Naama Lazimi | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.6K | ||
| Naftali Bennett | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.0K | ||
| Yitzhak Goldknopf | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michael Malchieli, Yoav Ben-Tzur, Avigdor Lieberman
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Playing Hard to Get: Why Avigdor Lieberman Has Nowhere Left to Go in Israeli PoliticsOur political life is one long flashback. The characters remain the same, events repeat themselves, and we have been condemned to continue reliving this depress Print in a simple, ad-free format Ad-free and in a comfortable reading format… -
TRT World - Thousands of Israelis flood Tel Aviv streets to demand end of Netanyahu era ahead of electionsThousands of Israelis have demonstrated in Tel Aviv against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, three days before Knesset elections and amid calls to replace his government and hold it accountable for its failures. Thousands gathered at… -
“A Dictator, Hates Everyone, A Liar”- Ex-Yisrael Beiteinu Minister Slams LiebermanSofa Landver, a former senior Yisrael Beiteinu MK who served as the Minister of Aliyah and Absorption for eight years, published a video on Sunday night revealing her true opinion of her former boss, Yisrael Beiteinu chairman Avigdor… -
Yisrael Beiteinu: Merger with Likud won’t make Lieberman PMYisrael Beiteinu has denied reports that party leader Avigdor Lieberman would become prime minister under a secret pact between his movement and Likud. “There is no pact for rotation in the role of prime minister,” Yisrael Beiteinu… -
SEE THE VIDEO: Shas MK Tears Up Coalition Agreement at Knesset PodiumMK Michael Malkieli (Shas) gave his first speech as an opposition member in the Knesset. During the very combative speech, Malkieli referred to the newly appointed Prime Minister Naftali Bennett as “the Con Man from Ra’anana”, and Avigdor… -
APPALLING INCITEMENT: Lieberman: “I’ll Bring The Chareidim To The Dump, They Act Like Pigs”Yisrael Beitenu chairman Avigdor Lieberman said in an interview with Channel 12 News on Thursday night that after the election he’ll “take Netanyahu and the Chareidim in a wheelbarrow to the nearest garbage dump.” His words aroused a media… -
As Israel goes to the polls, West Asia holds its breathThe stakes could hardly be higher as Israel heads to the polls on 27 October in one of the most consequential elections in its history—the first general election since Hamas’s 7 October 2023 attack set off Israeli military campaigns in… - Lieberman: Yisrael Beiteinu party to sit in oppositionAvigdor Lieberman said his Yisrael Beiteinu party would not join the new government coalition and he was resigning as foreign minister. Lieberman, who heads the right-wing party, said in an announcement on Monday that he would submit a…
-
Not sure who to vote for? Here are the main political parties ahead of Israeli electionsFrom Netanyahu’s Likud to Eisenkot’s Yashar and Winter’s Amcha Israel, the contenders differ on security, military service, religion and the courts Israel’s election on Tuesday brings together longstanding political rivals and new… -
NO NETANYAHU: Lieberman Rules Out Coalition With Prime Minister, Chareidi Parties Or Arab ListsYisrael Beiteinu chairman Avigdor Lieberman is drawing firm lines for a future coalition, ruling out any government with Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, the Chareidi parties, Ra’am, or the Joint List. “We will establish a coalition made… -
RIGHT-WING SURGES: Channel 14 Gives Netanyahu Bloc 64 Seats As Rival Polls Show Much Tighter RacePrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc has strengthened by one seat to 64 mandates following the closing of the party lists for the Knesset, while the left-wing bloc remains unchanged at 44 and the Arab parties fall from 13 to… -
Israel election 2026: Netanyahu may be weak but the right wing remains as strong as everAs so often in recent years, Israel’s latest election has centred on the personality of Benjamin Netanyahu. You might think, exactly three years after the 7 October 2023, that the Hamas-led attack and Israel’s genocide in Gaza would be the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions