Brazil Presidential Election
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro80%▼ 4
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva21%▲ 4
Install
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election? (Before Oct 28, 2030)
The odds
23%Naftali Bennett
- Naftali Bennett23%
- Israel Katz20%▼ 4
- Avigdor Lieberman16%▼ 4
- Ofer Winter7%▼ 2
- Yoav Gallant6%
- Gadi Eisenkot6%▼ 1
- Itamar Ben-Gvir5%▼ 3
- Yair Golan3%▼ 4
- Benjamin Netanyahu2%▼ 1
- Benny Gantz2%▼ 4
How the odds have moved
Naftali Bennett: 20% on Oct 19, 23% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftali Bennett | 23% | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 1.3K | |
| Israel Katz | 20% | ▼ 4 | 19¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 2.9K |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 16% | ▼ 4 | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 787 |
| Ofer Winter | 7% | ▼ 2 | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 255 |
| Yoav Gallant | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 13.00 | |
| Gadi Eisenkot | 6% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 13.00 |
| Itamar Ben-Gvir | 5% | ▼ 3 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 166 |
| Yair Golan | 3% | ▼ 4 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 13.00 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 2% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | $25.00 | 4.00 | |
| Benny Gantz | 2% | ▼ 4 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Naftali Bennett, Israel Katz, Avigdor Lieberman
Search ›- Anti-Netanyahu bloc weighs minority government as Naftali Bennett, Avigdor Liberman oppose planIsrael's anti-Netanyahu bloc is preparing for the possibility of forming a minority government after the upcoming elections, despite opposition from Avigdor Liberman and Naftali Bennett, while a broad agreement is emerging among the…
-
Israel Elections 2026: Who Are Benjamin Netanyahu’s Political Rivals? A Look At Former Military Chief Gadi Eisenkot, Ex-PM Naftali Bennett And Other Opposition LeadersThis election is being held in a time of discussion regarding national security, government response to the October 2023 Hamas-led attack, war in Gaza, military service exemption from ultra-Orthodox Jews, and the high cost of living. Gadi… - Middle Israel: Why Naftali Bennett should be Israel's next prime minister - opinionThe issues are clear. Israelis will judge their leaders next Tuesday on three fronts: accountability, duty, and merit. Accountability should dominate, as the trauma of autumn 2023 is etched in every voter’s mind. Two facts about this…
- Naftali Bennett pledges to maintain Yellow Line in Gaza, declare Qatar enemy stateFormer prime minister and B'Yachad party leader Naftali Bennett pledged to maintain the Yellow Line in Gaza and declare Qatar an enemy state in an effort to destroy Hamas if elected at the Gaza Border Communities Conference 2026 on Sunday…
-
RIGHT-WING SURGES: Channel 14 Gives Netanyahu Bloc 64 Seats As Rival Polls Show Much Tighter RacePrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc has strengthened by one seat to 64 mandates following the closing of the party lists for the Knesset, while the left-wing bloc remains unchanged at 44 and the Arab parties fall from 13 to… -
ELECTION RULING: Judge Orders Likud To Remove Anti-Eisenkot Campaign Posters Before ShabbosCentral Elections Committee Chairman Justice Noam Sohlberg ordered Likud on Friday to remove election campaign posters targeting Gadi Eisenkot by 3:30 p.m., ruling that the advertisements could mislead voters just days before Israel’s… -
Israel election 2026: Netanyahu may be weak but the right wing remains as strong as everAs so often in recent years, Israel’s latest election has centred on the personality of Benjamin Netanyahu. You might think, exactly three years after the 7 October 2023, that the Hamas-led attack and Israel’s genocide in Gaza would be the… -
Poll shows Netanyahu’s bloc losing 3 seats as opposition leads with 54 to 48 ahead of Israeli electionsOctober 23, 2026 at 3:04 pm Election campaign posters featuring candidates are displayed along streets and roads in Jerusalem on October 10, 2026, as campaigning continues ahead of Israel’s general elections scheduled for October 27… -
Former Israeli military chief, ex-PM: Benjamin Netanyahu’s top rivals in the Israeli electionsAs Israel heads to vote on October 27, a host of political figures, including an ex-prime minister and a former military chief, have positioned themselves as challengers seeking to replace Benjamin Netanyahu. While Israel votes for parties… -
Defense Minister Katz: Opposition to Blame for Any Future Terror Attacks on Israel'Any attack on Israel will be attributed to Yair Lapid, Naftali Bennett, Yair Golan and their partners,' Defense Minister Israel Katz said. Eisenkot, the opposition frontrunner, said Katz's statement was 'preparing the ground for the next… -
POLITICAL CLASH: Katz Warns Opposition Will Bear Responsibility For Any Future Attack On IsraelDefense Minister Yisrael Katz issued a sharp warning Thursday against opposition leaders Yair Lapid, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Golan, declaring that they would bear responsibility for any future attack against Israel because of their… - Inside Israel, I see how little haters worldwide understand this electionBenjamin Netanyahu’s future is at stake – but the issues for voters in a nation recovering from trauma are far removed from luxury beliefs of critics living safely abroad There is a contradiction at the heart of next week’s election in…
Related markets
All around the world ›Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
57%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia57%▼ 13
- Student List – Students Win43%▲ 13
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
50%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%50%▲ 9
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%26%▼ 12
- Lula da Silva <4%18%▲ 4
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%4%▼ 3
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%▼ 1
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%▲ 1
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
72%Yashar
- Yashar72%▲ 3
- Likud28%▼ 4
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Next French Presidential Election
44%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen44%▼ 3
- Édouard Philippe16%▼ 1
- David Lisnard14%
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann3%▼ 1
- François Hollande2%
- Bruno Retailleau2%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Christine Lagarde<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro80%▼ 3
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%▲ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions