How many House seats will Democrats win in Iowa? (Nov 3, 2026)
1.68median
-0.502.50
Median 1.68Middle half 1.95 – 2.09
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How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
4.19median
2.505.50
Median 4.19Middle half 3.83 – 4.64
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.16 on Oct 20, 4.19 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 3 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.0K | ||
| 3 | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.4K | ||
| 4 | 70% | 64¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 12.4K | |
| 5 | 25% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 5.4K |
| Above 5 | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 5.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Minnesota
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Mike Bloomberg starts spending blitz to help Democrats retake the HouseThree prominent Latin American political leaders have endorsed Rep. María Elvira Salazar (R-Florida) in recent weeks, prompting criticism from some Democrats who describe the international support as foreign interference in a U.S… -
‘Good sign’: House Democrat touts Trump & GOP pulling out Ohio battleground raceNBC News ‘Good sign’: House Democrat touts Trump & GOP pulling out Ohio battleground race Kornacki: Poll shows shift among those who call themselves a MAGA vs. traditional Republican Justice Department sues California over alleged… -
Dissecting Trump's election messaging; updates in Minnesota, Florida racesCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Latest on… -
GOP lawmakers warn of impeachment if Democrats flip the HouseFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports the latest on the midterm elections as early voting opens in Ohio and Florida. GOP lawmakers warn of impeachment if Democrats flip the House Fox News chief congressional… -
House Agriculture Committee Seat at Stake in Minnesota 2nd District RaceCompeting for the open seat are Republican nominee Eric Pratt and Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) nominee Matt Little. DFL nominee Matt Little is an attorney, small business owner and former public servant from Lakeville, Minn. Little… -
Two weeks before election day, here's what Minnesota voters say are their top issuesOctober 20, 2026 / 6:56 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota Just two weeks from the midterm election, many Minnesotans aren't waiting for Nov. 3, but are casting their votes early. In less than three days, more than 1,500 people have voted early in… -
Minnesota gubernatorial candidates spar over fraud in first debateFox News Minnesota gubernatorial candidates spar over fraud in first debate Fraud that occurred during the Walz era was front and center in the first debate between Dem. Sen. Amy Klobuchar and MN GOP House Speaker Lisa Demuth. -
U.S. Senate race in Minnesota moves toward GOP in new Cook ratingPresident Donald Trump said he has committed more than $400 million to help Republicans in the midterms, including $300 million already spent on advertising, contacting voters, holding rallies and other efforts. “It is my Great Honor to do… -
Trump claims Ilhan Omar, Tim Walz ‘100% guilty’ of Minnesota fraud: ‘They all knew’WASHINGTON — President Trump blasted Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Rep. Ilhan Omar as “100% guilty” Tuesday of facilitating widespread benefit fraud in the Land of 10,000 Lakes. “The governor is 100% guilty. He’s 100% guilty. He’s a fraud… -
Carville says he'd rather Republicans keep the House than Democrats win by five seats, held 'hostage' by DSADemocratic strategist James Carville said during an interview on Sunday that he would rather see the GOP keep the House by five seats than the Democrats winning by five, because the party would be "hostage" to the DSA. Democratic… -
MORNING GLORY: Minnesota's massive fraud scandal could deliver a stunning Senate upsetMinnesota GOP U.S. Senate candidate Michele Tafoya discusses her opponent Peggy Flanagan and criticizes her political record. Tafoya says Flanagan ‘cannot get a promotion’ and questions the prospect of advancing her political career on… -
Demuth, Klobuchar spar over fraud and data centers in Minnesota governor's debateThe two major candidates for Minnesota governor took to the debate stage for the first time on Monday. Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Minnesota House Speaker Lisa Demuth clashed over the state’s fraud scandals and how to move forward with data…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions