How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama? (Nov 3, 2026)
1.18median
-0.502.50
Median 1.18Middle half 0.83 – 1.60
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How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
5.11median
2.506.50
Median 5.11Middle half 4.65 – 5.66
How the odds have moved
Median: 5.00 on Oct 20, 5.11 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 3 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 6.3K | ||
| 3 | 4% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 6.8K |
| 4 | 12% | ▼ 6 | 9¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 4.1K |
| 5 | 54% | ▼ 2 | 53¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 3.8K |
| 6 | 26% | ▲ 10 | 23¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 2.1K |
| Above 6 | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 3.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Arizona
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Jay Feely, Arizona Republican House candidate and former NFL kicker, talks campaignCBS News Ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely on GOP House campaign An AI doom scenario that isn't well-known The data risks of personal AI agents Democrats to hold post-midterm summit Sources: Musk restricted Ukraine's satellite access Trump: U.S. has… -
Mike Bloomberg starts spending blitz to help Democrats retake the HouseThree prominent Latin American political leaders have endorsed Rep. María Elvira Salazar (R-Florida) in recent weeks, prompting criticism from some Democrats who describe the international support as foreign interference in a U.S… -
‘Good sign’: House Democrat touts Trump & GOP pulling out Ohio battleground raceNBC News ‘Good sign’: House Democrat touts Trump & GOP pulling out Ohio battleground race Kornacki: Poll shows shift among those who call themselves a MAGA vs. traditional Republican Justice Department sues California over alleged… -
GOP lawmakers warn of impeachment if Democrats flip the HouseFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports the latest on the midterm elections as early voting opens in Ohio and Florida. GOP lawmakers warn of impeachment if Democrats flip the House Fox News chief congressional… -
Where Arizona House candidates in District 17 standThree of four candidates running for two Arizona House seats in Legislative District 17 share where they stand on groundwater, housing and school funding. A retired Air Force colonel, a fifth-grade teacher, a former preschool director and… -
Gary Garcia Snyder shares priorities for Arizona House District 23YUMA, Ariz. (KYMA) - Republican candidate Gary Garcia Snyder says lowering costs, expanding mental health services and supporting education are among his priorities as he runs for Arizona House District 23. If elected, Snyder says he wants… -
Carville says he'd rather Republicans keep the House than Democrats win by five seats, held 'hostage' by DSADemocratic strategist James Carville said during an interview on Sunday that he would rather see the GOP keep the House by five seats than the Democrats winning by five, because the party would be "hostage" to the DSA. Democratic… -
House Democrats Jump Into Three New House RacesPolitical Wire “House Democrats are pouring money into three new congressional districts President Donald Trump won handily in 2024, pushing their party deeper into GOP territory in the final two weeks of 2026 cycle,” the Washington Sun… -
Arizona CD1 voters to decide: MAGA Republican or Democrat?Voters in Arizona’s most competitive congressional district face a choice they’ve never had before: do they want to elect a Trump-endorsed MAGA Republican to Congress, or a Democrat? For years, the 1st Congressional District has been… -
Maricopa County, Arizona, Is Again Ground Zero of Election Conspiracy Theories“Maricopa is a very, very dishonest county,” President Donald Trump told reporters last week. One could be forgiven for thinking that you had time-traveled back to the chaotic weeks and months following the 2020 presidential election, when… -
Sabato's Crystal Ball changes 28 House race ratingsWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Midterms in 30: Key House Races in Arizona and FloridaWelcome back to Midterms in 30, where we give you the information you need to know before Election Day. Today we’re going to be talking about the elections in the key battleground states: Florida and Arizona. In Arizona, voters will be…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.