How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota? (Nov 3, 2026)
4.19median
2.505.50
Median 4.19Middle half 3.83 – 4.61
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How many House seats will Democrats win in Iowa? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
1.68median
-0.502.50
Median 1.68Middle half 1.95 – 2.09
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.61 on Oct 20, 1.68 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | 7¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 8.6K | ||
| 1 | 6% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 6.3K |
| 2 | 26% | ▼ 1 | 26¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 3.0K |
| Above 2 | 61% | ▲ 5 | 63¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 754 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Iowa
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Democrats poised for significant House gains, Cook Political Report estimatesThe nonpartisan Cook Political Report projects Democrats will most likely flip between 12 and 22 seats in November — potentially giving them bigger majorities than the ones they won during blue waves in the 2006 and 2018 midterms. On… -
Democrat hoping to flip Nebraska House seat pushing for action on affordabilityCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Democrat hoping to… -
Map Shows Closest House Races as Cook Shifts 19 Seats Toward DemocratsOct 23, 2026 at 12:01 PM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 12:04 PM EDT No seats were shifted toward Republicans in the latest update from the elections forecaster published on Friday. The update brings six seats that were previously classified as… -
Senate Democrat Probes Tether Payments to Ex-White House Crypto Adviser’s FirmTether is facing fresh scrutiny in the Senate over millions of dollars that reportedly flowed to a firm co-owned by Bo Hines while he helped shape U.S. stablecoin law at the White House. Sen. Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn., the top Democrat… -
Thune weighs nightmare scenario for GOP as Democrats threaten to flip HouseElection forecasters see Democrats taking the House, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told Fox News Digital he is confident Republicans will hold the chamber, and he won’t have to work with potential Speaker Hakeem Jeffries… -
Oil politics squeeze IowaThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/23/2026 02:36 PM EDT And President Donald Trump just told reporters that the order came directly from him, another breach of DOJ independence: “I’m the… -
Why Cook Political Report just shifted 19 more House races in Democrats' directionDana Bash is joined by Erin Covey of the Cook Political Report as the nonpartisan ratings outlet shifts 19 House races in Democrats' direction. She explains which races they moved and why - including which Republican incumbents are facing… -
Trump rallying with Senate hopeful Ashley Hinson in Iowa as she pledges to push back on White HouseOctober 22, 2026 / 6:00 AM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — President Trump is set to rally Thursday with Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa as he seeks to boost Republican candidates in a political environment that has dimmed for the party —… -
Iowa House candidates divided on tariffs, IranThe Black Chronicle Candidates in Iowa’s second congressional district are divided on tariffs, healthcare and gas prices as the race for control of Congress comes to the heartland. Iowa Rep. Lindsay James, D-Dubuque, and Republican former… -
How Democrats could win the House, how the GOP could hang on, and where to look for a waveDemocrats must compete deeper in territory Trump won in 2024 to make big gains in this year’s midterms, but the political environment is on their side. In 2024, America swung to the right, powering Donald Trump back to the White House with… -
Iowa’s cancer problem is scrambling the midtermsAs the debate season kicked off in Iowa’s heated gubernatorial race, one question seemed to animate and, in some ways, unify the candidates. “What are the immediate and specific steps that you would take to combat Iowa’s cancer crisis?”… -
Iowa House District 84 - Polly DenisonThe Gazette sent questionnaires to both Iowa House District 84 candidates Thomas Gerhold and Polly Denison. Gerhold did not submit responses. Polly Denison is seeking to be elected in the Nov. 3, 2026 general election to represent District…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions