Texas Governor winner? (2026)
69%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott69%▲ 1
- Gina Hinojosa32%▼ 2
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Will Steve Hilton outperform the polls?
The odds
56%chance▼ 7
How the odds have moved
Yes: 48% on Oct 20, 56% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 26, 5 PM ET64% → 56%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56% | ▼ 7 | 52¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 3.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Steve Hilton, California
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Steve Hilton unveils his vision for California bullet trainCalifornia gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is pitching a dramatic end to the state’s troubled high-speed rail project — imagining a future where the multibillion-dollar undertaking is transformed into a monument to government failure… -
Steve Hilton hits Dem governor's 2028 pitch by calling out Newsom's rail recordSteve Hilton questioned California's unfinished high-speed rail project after Andy Beshear touted Democratic governors' accomplishments on HBO's 'Real Time with Bill Maher,' prompting Maher to agree. Republican California gubernatorial… -
Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor's raceRepublican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton discusses his campaign in the final days before the midterm elections. Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor’s race Republican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton… -
Watch Steve Hilton's Latest Campaign Ad Masterpiece: Monument of Government FailuresBut the best part has to be Hilton's proposed solution for the disaster that is the California high speed railway: Closing down the project and labeling it the "Government Failures National Monument." That, right there, is great stuff… -
Republican Governor Candidate Steve Hilton Gets Applause From Bill Maher’s Liberal Audience for Saying He’ll Clean Up the Streets of California (VIDEO)Steve Hilton, the Republican gubernatorial candidate for California, appeared on the Bill Maher show on Friday night, and managed to get a round of applause from Maher’s liberal audience when he vowed to clean up the streets in the state… -
How would Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton manage California’s most precious resource, water?This story was originally published by CalMatters. California’s next governor must reckon with a state of extremes — where weather swings from drought to deluge, and water divides the land of backyard swimming pools from places where… -
Steve Hilton discusses polls, ICE detentions in FOX26 exclusiveFRESNO, Calif. (FOX26) — With less than two weeks until Election Day, Republican candidate for California governor Steve Hilton is pushing back against polling showing him trailing Democrat Xavier Becerra. Hilton sat down with FOX26's… -
Election 2026: Here's where California gubernatorial candidates Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra stand on housing and homelessnessABC7 Los Angeles Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessness Becerra says prevention is key Program funding remains divided issue -
‘Please Win’: Steve Hilton’s Vow to Reverse Gavin Newsom’s Prison Closures Draws Support and Pushback in CaliforniaIn the post, Hilton replies to Governor Gavin Newsom’s announcement of an executive order on public safety. He states, “Thanks, but we got this. As the next governor, I will reverse your insane and destructive prison closure program so we… -
Final stretch to Election Day as California’s political heavyweights deliver last pitch to votersCalifornia’s political heavyweights hit the campaign trail Saturday as early voting opened, with candidates scrambling to lock down support before Election Day and pitching voters sharply different answers to the state’s affordability and… -
California Post poll has signs of hope — except for third-place Gavin NewsomSteve Hilton is doing better than expected. That’s the key takeaway from the statewide poll conducted by The California Post among 800 likely voters from Oct. 17 to 20. The Republican candidate has run an energetic campaign, focused on… -
Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessnessSAN FRANCISCO (KGO) -- Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is making an ambitious promise to California voters on one of the states most visible issues. Within his first year in office, Hilton says he can effectively end mass…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions