Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
Install
Will Adam Hamilton outperform the polls?
The odds
41%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 38% on Oct 20, 41% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 4.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Adam Hamilton, Kansas
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Kansas Dem Adam Hamilton’s Megachurch Pushes Gender-Neutral Language for Kids Ministry ‘Inspired’ By LGBTQ+ ActivistThe Church of the Resurrection, led by Kansas Democrat U.S. Senate nominee Adam Hamilton, encouraged the use of gender-neutral terms instead of references to boys and girls to make children “feel welcome,” according to a message provided… -
Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton face off in fiery final Kansas Senate debateRepublican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton went head to head in a contentious debate Wednesday night as polls show a toss-up in ruby-red Kansas with less than two weeks until Election Day. Marshall and Hamilton traded… -
Voters sound off before Kansas Senate debate between Roger Marshall and Adam HamiltonThe Kansas Senate race is becoming increasingly competitive between incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton. They will go head-to-head on the debate stage Wednesday. CBS News reporter Katrina Kaufman… -
Adam Hamilton’s LGBTQ+ record isn’t perfect, but it could help him win his ruby-red stateAdam Hamilton’s LGBTQ+ record mostly supports queer civil rights (unless you’re a trans athlete). Let’s take a closer look… United Methodist pastor Adam Hamilton’s LGBTQ+ views could help determine whether Kansas elects its first… -
1-on-1 with (D) Adam Hamilton, Kansas U.S. Senate candidateAdam Hamilton, the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Kansas, spoke with KCTV5 sister station WIBW in Topeka ahead of the November general election. KANSAS CITY, Mo. (KCTV) - Adam Hamilton, the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in… -
Can Democrats Flip Kansas? Adam Hamilton Challenges GOP Senator as Trump Remains CentralDemocrat Adam Hamilton is challenging Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in a closely contested Kansas Senate race that could test whether Democrats can overcome the state's longstanding Republican advantage as President Donald Trump's… -
Who Is Adam Hamilton’s Wife? LaVon Bandy Was High School SweetheartOct 21, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Adam Hamilton has spent decades as a prominent Christian pastor, author, and community leader in Kansas. Now the Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate, he is seeking to take the approach he developed leading… -
Roger Marshall, Adam Hamilton clash at last debate in U.S. Senate raceRepublican incumbent U.S. Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton faced off Wednesday evening in their final scheduled debate before Election Day. With less than two weeks left, what’s usually a sleepy… -
Kansas Senate debate: Sen. Roger Marshall, Adam Hamilton debate Iran war, gas pricesRepublican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton debated in Kansas City, discussing the Iran war, fuel prices, and campaign attack ads as Election Day approaches. The debate, less tense than their first encounter at the… - How Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton answered Topeka business leadersIn the U.S. Senate race in Kansas featuring a doctor vs. a pastor, both major candidates believe they are good listeners. But for two local business leaders who had the opportunity to hear from Republican U.S. Sen. Roger Marshall and…
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Roger Marshall-Adam Hamilton debate: The view from Great BendI watched Wednesday night’s debate between Adam Hamilton and Roger Marshall at Dry Lake Brewing Co., on Main Street in Great Bend, Kansas. Great Bend is Marshall’s home turf. Kansas’ junior U.S. senator spent decades practicing medicine… - Kansas Senate Debate Stuns Voters as Republican Roger Marshall Breaks With Donald Trump and Democrat Adam Hamilton Denounces Joe BidenThe final Kansas Senate debate delivered an astonishing political spectacle when incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall broke ranks with Donald Trump on trade and immigration, while Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton labelled former…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions