When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Kalshi Tech › AI Closes Nov 12 · $59 today · $33.2K traded · $6.2K at stake · prices read 79 min ago

The odds

25%Before Nov 13, 2026
  • Before Oct 30, 20262%
  • Before Nov 6, 202613%▼ 1
  • Before Nov 13, 202625%

How the odds have moved

Before Oct 30, 2026: 13% on Oct 20, 2% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Sep 25, 2026 1% $100.00 6.5K
Before Oct 2, 2026 1% $100.00 14.3K
Before Oct 9, 2026 1% $100.00 34.9K
Before Oct 16, 2026 1% $100.00 34.9K
Before Oct 23, 2026 1% ▼ 1 $100.00 53.2K
Before Oct 30, 2026 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 64.2K
Before Nov 6, 2026 13% ▼ 1 12¢ 14¢ $7.14 64.4K
Before Nov 13, 2026 25% 24¢ 25¢ $4.00 91.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: OpenAI, ChatGPT, Astra

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

85%Google
  • Google85%▼ 5
  • Anthropic11%▲ 3
  • OpenAI<1%
18 more
  • Meta<1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
Tech › AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

54%No release by October 31
  • No release by October 3154%▼ 17
  • October 2724%▲ 9
  • October 299%▲ 5
11 more
  • October 264%▲ 1
  • October 304%▲ 3
  • October 283%
  • October 201%▼ 12
  • October 31<1%▼ 2
  • October 19<1%▼ 2
  • October 21<1%▼ 5
  • October 22<1%▼ 14
  • October 23<1%▼ 4
  • October 24<1%
  • October 25<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions