Total Fed dissents in 2027
5.72median
-0.5013.5
Median 5.72Middle half 2.12 – 8.71
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Total Fed dissents in 2026
The odds
8.71median
6.5013.5
Median 8.71Middle half 7.67 – 9.89
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 7 | 21% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 229 |
| Exactly 8 | 24% | ▼ 1 | 20¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | |
| Exactly 9 | 23% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 26.00 |
| Exactly 10 | 18% | ▼ 1 | 15¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 205 |
| Exactly 11 | 5% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 29.00 |
| Exactly 12 | 6% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 300 |
| 13+ | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 100 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Federal Reserve, Fed, FOMC
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Related markets
All the fed ›Fed Decision in October?
85%No change
- No change85%▼ 2
- 25 bps increase14%▲ 1
- 25 bps decrease<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase<1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Fed Decision in December?
77%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase77%▲ 1
- No change20%▼ 2
- 50+ bps increase2%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Fed Decision in January?
64%No change
- No change64%▲ 2
- 25 bps increase34%
- 25 bps decrease1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease1%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
97%0 (0 bps)
- 0 (0 bps)97%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)<1%
10 more
- 4 (100 bps)<1%
- 3 (75 bps)<1%
- 5 (125 bps)<1%
- 6 (150 bps)<1%
- 7 (175 bps)<1%
- 8 (200 bps)<1%
- 9 (225 bps)<1%
- 10 (250 bps)<1%
- 11 (275 bps)<1%
- 12+ (300+ bps)<1%
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
68%2 (50 bps)
- 2 (50 bps)68%
- 1 (25 bps)21%▼ 2
- 3 (75 bps)10%
2 more
- 4 (100 bps)1%
- 5+ (125+ bps)<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.