US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026
412.4median
405419
Median 412.4Middle half 408.8 – 415.5
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US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026
Settled Between 412.00 and 413.00A day before, traders had a median of 412.5
The last odds before it closed
410.7median
- ✓ Above 410 million barrels69%▼ 5
- ✓ Above 411 million barrels42%▼ 45
- ✓ Above 412 million barrels42%▼ 3
- Above 413 million barrels42%▲ 8
- Above 414 million barrels39%
- Above 415 million barrels39%▼ 1
- Above 416 million barrels21%▼ 24
- Above 417 million barrels21%
- Above 418 million barrels21%
- Above 419 million barrels—
- Above 420 million barrels20%
- Above 421 million barrels20%▲ 6
1 more
- Above 422 million barrels2%▼ 8
How the odds have moved
Median: 413.3 on Oct 20, 410.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 410 million barrels | 69% | 1.3K | ||||
| ✓ Above 411 million barrels | 42% | 773 | ||||
| ✓ Above 412 million barrels | 42% | 1.7K | ||||
| ✗ Above 413 million barrels | 42% | 4.2K | ||||
| ✗ Above 414 million barrels | 39% | 370 | ||||
| ✗ Above 415 million barrels | 39% | 23.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above 416 million barrels | 21% | 8.5K | ||||
| ✗ Above 417 million barrels | 21% | 528 | ||||
| ✗ Above 418 million barrels | 21% | 3.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above 419 million barrels | — | |||||
| ✗ Above 420 million barrels | 20% | 24.00 | ||||
| ✗ Above 421 million barrels | 20% | 391 | ||||
| ✗ Above 422 million barrels | 2% | 6.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: oil prices, crude oil, OPEC
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Benchmark indices snap two-week winning streak amid rising crude oil pricesMumbai: Benchmark domestic indices snapped their two-week rising streak dragged by higher crude oil prices due to escalating West Asia conflict. During the holiday-shortened week, the 30-share Sensex at the Bombay Stock Exchange declined 1… -
Global crude oil prices hit six-month high on Middle East conflict, fears of US strikes on IranSaturday October 24, 2026 Global crude oil prices surged to a six-month high as investor anxieties mounted over potential US military strikes against Iran in the coming weeks alongside escalating regional conflict in the Middle East. Brent… -
Record Tanker Rates Cripple U.S. Crude Oil Flows to AsiaU.S. Dips Into Strategic Oil Reserve Again Amid Supply Disruptions UT Austin researchers say desalinated… Houthi strikes on Saudi oil… Aramco warns the global oil… The Iran war has made oil tanker voyages so inefficient that vessel… -
Markets Next Week: Crude oil at $117, broader market selloff and Q2 earnings in focusSelling pressure was more pronounced in the broader market, with Nifty Midcap 150 sliding 5.5% and Nifty Smallcap 250 declining 7.1%. The latter recorded its steepest weekly decline since February 2025. Global market weakness, including a… -
BPCL Profit Falls 22.5% Amid Crude Oil VolatilityUnique Times Magazine BPCL Profit Falls 22.5% Amid Crude Oil Volatility India’s Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL), the country’s third-largest refiner by capacity, reported a 22.5% decline in standalone net profit for the second… -
NNPC, China North Industries parley on crude oil production, gas commercialisationOctober 24, 2026 by John Ofikhenua, Abuja NNPC Limited on Friday hosted a delegation from China North Industries Group Corporation Limited (NORINCO Group) to discuss cooperation in energy infrastructure, crude oil production, gas… -
Dow Plunges 652 Points After Crude Oil Tops $100 on Renewed US-Iran War FearsNew York stocks closed lower on Friday, October 23, 2026, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbling 652.82 points, or 1.23%, to close at 52,215.16, as the previous session's technology selloff spread broadly across other sectors… -
Crude oil price forecast as Brent hits $117 amid US-Iran war fearsBuy Brent exposure (e.g., Brent crude futures or an ETF like BNO). The article points to a likely escalation targeting Iran’s oil export lifeline (Kharg Island) plus Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption—classic supply shock drivers… -
S&P 500 (SPY) And Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Slide As Oil Prices Surge And AI Profitability Fears PersistBy David Prior | Oct 24, 2026 | Economy & Business, Featured, News & Analysis Wall Street closed a bruising week on shaky ground Friday, with major indexes extending losses driven by rising oil prices and deepening skepticism around… -
From crude oil to canvas: Turning Iran's black gold into artOil paints have been an artist’s staple since the Renaissance, and in tubes of paint for nearly 200 years - using mostly linseed oil, from the flax plant. But for Iranian artist Amin Roshan, crude oil would ultimately be his tool of… - Goldman Sachs Says Refiners See 'High Probability' Of Sharp Oil Supply Drop As Houthi Attacks Escalate — Crude Oil Prices Hit 6-Month HighCrude oil prices have climbed to a six-month high as escalating attacks and rising tensions in the Middle East add to concerns about energy supply disruptions. The latest escalation comes as fighting involving the Iran-aligned Houthis and…
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Pakistanis brace for another Petrol Price Hike Next Week as Global Oil Prices surge above $116ISLAMABAD – Petrol and diesel consumers in Pakistan could face more price shocks next week as international crude oil prices climb to six-month high, with Brent crossing $116 per barrel amid escalating Middle East tensions and growing…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.