What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call? (Oct 28, 2026)

Kalshi Mentions › Earnings calls Closes Jan 26, 2027 · $879 today · $4.1K traded · $3.2K at stake · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

94%GitHub (3+ times)
  • GitHub (3+ times)94%▲ 2
  • OpenAI (3+ times)93%▼ 2
  • Maia90%▲ 5
  • Anthropic / Claude89%▲ 2
  • Frontier87%▲ 2
  • AMD / Advanced Micro Devices78%▲ 7
  • Autopilot72%▲ 5
  • Cobalt70%▲ 6
  • Helios56%▲ 3
  • Activision / Blizzard56%▲ 1
  • Memory (3+ times)55%▲ 11
  • Sovereign Cloud50%
2 more
  • Gaming37%▲ 2
  • Cybersecurity29%

How the odds have moved

GitHub (3+ times): 81% on Oct 23, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 11 PM ETGitHub (3+ times): 81% → 90%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
GitHub (3+ times) 94% ▲ 2 90¢ 97¢ $1.03 583
OpenAI (3+ times) 93% ▼ 2 90¢ 96¢ $1.04 617
Maia 90% ▲ 5 87¢ 92¢ $1.09 571
Anthropic / Claude 89% ▲ 2 85¢ 93¢ $1.08 825
Frontier 87% ▲ 2 84¢ 89¢ $1.12 180
AMD / Advanced Micro Devices 78% ▲ 7 75¢ 80¢ $1.25 194
Autopilot 72% ▲ 5 62¢ 73¢ $1.37 222
Cobalt 70% ▲ 6 56¢ 76¢ $1.32 221
Helios 56% ▲ 3 51¢ 61¢ $1.64 235
Activision / Blizzard 56% ▲ 1 52¢ 60¢ $1.67 210
Memory (3+ times) 55% ▲ 11 42¢ 54¢ $1.85 107
Sovereign Cloud 50% 34¢ 49¢ $2.04 4.00
Gaming 37% ▲ 2 34¢ 40¢ $2.50 1.7K
Cybersecurity 29% 25¢ 33¢ $3.03 455

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Microsoft

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions