Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Gemini (3+ times)
99%
▲ 1
98¢
99¢
$1.01
7.0K
AI Mode
95%
▲ 3
94¢
95¢
$1.05
6.1K
NVIDIA
89%
▲ 4
87¢
91¢
$1.10
448
Headwind
84%
▲ 6
79¢
88¢
$1.14
275
Antigravity
81%
▲ 1
77¢
85¢
$1.18
299
CodeMender
77%
▲ 5
75¢
78¢
$1.28
757
Wiz
76%
▲ 2
74¢
78¢
$1.28
418
Chrome
75%
▼ 1
73¢
77¢
$1.30
4.0K
Tailwind
69%
▼ 1
65¢
72¢
$1.39
33.00
Open Source
68%
▲ 26
52¢
63¢
$1.59
314
Search Advertising / Search Ad
65%
64¢
66¢
$1.52
845
Autonomous
49%
▼ 1
48¢
49¢
$2.04
1.7K
Recall / Recalled
30%
▼ 1
28¢
32¢
$3.13
168
YouTube Shorts
26%
▲ 4
23¢
28¢
$3.57
1.0K
Regulator / Regulation / Regulatory
21%
▼ 7
19¢
23¢
$4.35
581
Ironwood
20%
▼ 2
17¢
22¢
$4.55
941
Privacy
14%
▼ 2
12¢
17¢
$5.88
562
Geothermal
12%
▼ 5
10¢
14¢
$7.14
125
SpaceX
11%
▼ 5
8¢
13¢
$7.69
523
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Google Quietly Updates Privacy Policy to Let Gmail and Photos Data Feed AdsDecrypt · 2 days agoA policy change effective Oct. 16 carves out an exception to Google’s long-standing pledge—letting connected Gmail, Drive, and Photos data personalize ads through its Personal Intelligence AI features. - The exception hinges on Personal…
Google Adds More Clickable Links to AI Overviews and AI Mode in SearchScalevise Resources · 4 days agoGoogle is changing how AI Overviews and AI Mode connect users with publishers, official sites and timely reporting. The update puts more emphasis on clickable sources and clearer navigation within AI-generated answers. For website owners…
Google’s AI search changes upended online publishingThe Verge · 3 days agoThis is The Stepback, a weekly newsletter breaking down one essential story from the tech world. For more about AI's impact on the web, follow Emma Roth. The Stepback arrives in our subscribers' inboxes on Sunday at 8AM ET. Opt in for The…
It’s time find browser: Google Search is changing fastJournalArta · 45 h agoGoogle is reshaping Search around conversational AI, while users who dislike AI-generated results have other search engines to consider. The Verge’s weekly… Google is moving Search toward conversational AI, sharpening the choice for people…
Connecting Gmail to Google’s AI now opens it to adsCryptopolitan · 35 h agoThe opening is only for users linking those apps to the company’s AI tools. The new language took effect Oct. 16. Inbox, cloud files, and picture libraries are not things that Google would use to personalize ads. The company has said this…
Google CEO Larry Page explains his vocal cord paralysisCBS News · 37 h agoMay 15, 2013 / 11:57 AM EDT / CBS/AP SAN FRANCISCOGoogle CEO Larry Page said on his Google Plus profile that he has a problem with his vocal cords that makes it difficult for him to speak and breathe occasionally. However, the executive…
Google Search May Use Your Gmail and Photos Summaries for AdsWinBuzzer · 2 days agoGoogle described the policy language as a clarification in a response to Ars Technica. The company said the wording does not signal a change in its handling of data with advertising partners. It denied scanning entire inboxes to enhance…
Google and Meta's new terms carry EU fine risk of up to 10% of salesPPC Land · 2 days agoMeta's free cash flow was -$2.12bn in Q3 and Alphabet's -$5.9bn in Q2, yet both hold over $80bn in cash. Which EU rules do the new terms test, and how hard? No regulator has said that either set of terms breaks EU law. What follows is a…
Perplexity Computer for Mac Adds Local AI Mode for Pro, Max SubscribersGadgets 360 · 5 days agoPerplexity recommends at least 36GB of memory for local tasks Perplexity first introduced Personal Computer for Mac in May, allowing Computer to work with local files and native Mac apps. Last month, it added Hybrid Compute, which combines…
Now Google says it might use your Gmail and Google Photos data to target adsThe Verge · 3 days agoGoogle has updated its privacy policy in a way that could mean you'll start seeing targeted ads based on your personal data if you're using personalized AI features. The update, spotted by Android Authority, adds an exception to its…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions