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Diesel price at year-end 2026
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: $6.22 on Oct 20, $6.23 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4.00 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 732 | |
| Above $4.20 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 5.0K | |
| Above $4.40 | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.8K | |
| Above $4.60 | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.8K | |
| Above $4.80 | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 1.8K | |
| Above $5.00 | 92% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 1.3K |
| Above $5.20 | 84% | 83¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 1.8K | |
| Above $5.40 | 81% | ▲ 7 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 1.5K |
| Above $5.60 | 74% | ▲ 3 | 71¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 1.7K |
| Above $5.80 | 70% | ▼ 11 | 68¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 2.8K |
| Above $6.00 | 67% | ▲ 2 | 52¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 4.8K |
| Above $6.20 | 53% | 52¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 1.8K | |
| Above $6.40 | 37% | 36¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 2.3K | |
| Above $6.60 | 33% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 2.3K |
| Above $6.80 | 33% | 21¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 2.9K | |
| Above $7.00 | 33% | 12¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 1.4K | |
| Above $7.20 | 18% | ▼ 1 | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 2.7K |
| Above $7.40 | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.6K | |
| Above $7.60 | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 6.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Diesel
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Drought, fire and high diesel prices 'addin' up tough' for Oregon ranchersKatie Baltzor rides her side-by-side among the black angus cattle she raises near her home outside of Hines, Oregon. Anna King/NWPB hide caption HARNEY COUNTY, ORE. - Late bloomin' rabbitbrush – wads of swaying ochre – stud the roadsides… -
Russian diesel tanker officially en route to USRetired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold Punaro discusses President Donald Trump's diesel deal with Russia as a tanker heads to the US on 'America Reports.' Russian diesel tanker officially en route to US Retired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold… -
First tanker of Russian diesel sets sail for the US in Trump's controversial deal with PutinBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Kremlin says that… -
What can be done to combat all-time-high diesel prices?Current diesel prices are at an all-time high, impacting the transportation industry and the price you pay for many items. CBS News correspondent Marybel Gonzalez has what the country is doing to pump the brakes on rising costs. What can… -
First Russian diesel tanker heads to New York after Trump's deal with Putin to lower fuel pricesRetired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold Punaro discusses President Donald Trump's diesel deal with Russia as a tanker heads to the US on 'America Reports.' The first tanker with 40,000 tons of diesel left for New York from Russia earlier… -
Russian diesel tanker heads to the U.S., the first since Trump’s deal with PutinMorning Rundown: Trump predicts GOP defeat in key race, Airbnb sets new rules for hosts, and World Series begins as lockout looms A tanker loaded with diesel fuel set sail Friday from Russia for the United States, the first shipment since… -
First Russian diesel shipment from Putin-Trump deal headed for US — but it won’t arrive before MidtermsThe first shipment of Russian diesel bound for the US, as part of a deal brokered with Moscow by President Trump, is aboard a tanker bound for New York, according to ship-tracking data. The Malta-flagged tanker “Agoio Fanades” was loaded… -
Trump to use the Defense Production Act to boost U.S. gas and diesel production. Could it help?October 23, 2026 / 11:24 AM EDT / CBS News President Trump on Thursday said his administration will invoke the Defense Production Act to spend $150 million to boost gasoline and diesel production in the U.S., the latest effort from the… -
Trump administration focuses on farmers amid rising diesel costsCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Trump administration… -
Trump Diesel Relief Stalls as US Diesel Hits USD 6.28President Donald Trump's campaign to reduce diesel costs has yet to halt rising prices ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. US diesel rose nearly 10 cents last week to USD 6.28 a gallon, staying near record highs, according to the… -
Ukraine war briefing: Russian diesel tankers headed for North America, says Moscow, as US tries to revive peace talksTankers part of US-Russia deal that could see 500,000 metric tonnes of fuel supplied to world market this month. What we know on day 1,704 ... Ukraine war briefing: Russian diesel tankers headed for North America, says Moscow, as US tries… -
Columnist: Iowa farmers have seen diesel costs soar, driving midterm movementBoston Globe columnist Kristin Tate discusses how rising diesel costs are impacting midterm voters on ‘Fox & Friends First.’ ... Columnist: Iowa farmers have seen diesel costs soar, driving midterm movement Boston Globe columnist Kristin…
Related markets
All commodities ›What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $106.25.
- Reaches $100>99%
- Reaches $10559%
- Falls to $9528%
- Falls to $9010%
Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90
US gas prices this week (Oct 26, 2026)
Diesel price on Election Day (November 3, 2026)
New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026
Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 26, 2026?
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions