Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
11%chance▲ 3
Install
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? (Before Feb 2028)
The odds
37%Before Feb 1, 2028
- Before Dec 1, 20268%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202736%
- Before Apr 1, 202736%
- Before Aug 1, 202737%▲ 1
- Before Feb 1, 202837%
How the odds have moved
Before Dec 1, 2026: 7% on Oct 20, 8% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 8% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 4.0K |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 36% | 35¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 3.6K | |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 36% | 31¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 4.3K | |
| Before Aug 1, 2027 | 37% | ▲ 1 | 36¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 5.7K |
| Before Feb 1, 2028 | 37% | 32¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FDA, Heidi Overton, Commissioner
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Robert F. Kennedy Jr. news - Today’s latest updatesZach Lahn, the Republican candidate for governor in Iowa, told "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" that he believes the state's "farmers understand that for a long time they have been treated as price takers, and really the deck has… -
Guest Column: Bill Cassidy should block FDA’s evasive nomineeSen. Bill Cassidy, R-Baton Rouge, talks with Dr. Heidi Overton before her nomination hearing to become the commissioner of Food and Drug Administration at the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions (HELP) Committee on Capitol Hill… -
Feud between DA Larry Krasner and Philadelphia police commissioner heats upCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Feud… -
FDA issues warning letters to five unapproved GLP-1 websitesThe home page for Peak Performance Peptides, one of the companies to receive an FDA letter. The US FDA issued similar warning letters to five different online peptide vendors on 24th August, giving the companies 15 days to respond to… -
Philadelphia DA fires back at police commissioner in feud over officer's killingOctober 23, 2026 / 8:34 PM EDT / CBS Philadelphia Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner fired back at Police Commissioner Kevin Bethel Friday as a war of words between them over the killing of a police officer escalates. The feud… -
The FDA says there’s no estrogen patch shortage. Women are struggling to fill prescriptions.Estrogen patches are the most commonly reported shortage in the U.S., but the FDA says it’s working to boost supply. Women across the country are still struggling to fill prescriptions for estrogen patches. -
FDA issues recall over compounded GLP-1 weight loss drugsFox News contributor Dr. Stephanie Widmer discusses the recall of certain compounded GLP-1 medications over sterility concerns. FDA issues recall over compounded GLP-1 weight loss drugs Fox News contributor Dr. Stephanie Widmer discusses… -
Police yet to receive £2m after A66 crash, says commissionerSeven people including two police officers were killed in the crash on the A66 in the early hours of 22 August A police force has still not received the £2m it was promised by the government in the wake of a car crash that led to the… -
MDMA-assisted therapy could get FDA approval as soon as January, top advocate predicts — but there’s a major problem loomingA drug once synonymous with rave culture could soon be making its way into a very different setting: the therapist’s office. A leading psychedelics advocate is “very optimistic” the Food and Drug Administration could approve MDMA-assisted… -
FULTON COUNTY COMMISSIONERS: Commissioners Hear Concerns Over Swan Creek Ditch ChangesThe Fulton County Commissioners held their meeting on Thursday, October 22. The meeting began at 9:00 a.m. with the Pledge of Allegiance and an opening prayer. Commissioners then moved through county business before holding a public… -
FDA has finalized its guidance on apps related to drugsSTAT is a media company focused on finding and telling compelling stories about health, medicine, and scientific discovery. We produce daily news, investigative articles, and narrative projects in addition to multimedia features, podcasts… -
Philadelphia Police Commissioner Bethel slams DA Krasner for comments after officer's shooting deathPhiladelphia Police Commissioner Kevin Bethel criticized District Attorney Larry Krasner for his comments about an alleged botched police investigation into Eric Lewis in 2019. Lewis is accused of shooting and killing officer Shane Seiber…
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All congress ›Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
11%Thom Tillis
- Thom Tillis11%▼ 1
- Kirsten Gillibrand9%
- Andy Kim8%
12 more
- Jacky Rosen7%
- John Fetterman7%
- Alex Padilla7%
- Raphael Warnock7%▼ 2
- Catherine Cortez Masto7%
- Mike Lee6%▲ 2
- Mark Warner6%
- Josh Hawley6%
- Lisa Blunt Rochester5%
- Rand Paul5%▼ 2
- Jerry Moran5%▼ 1
- Ruben Gallego3%▼ 2
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
9.47%median
-100%100%
Median 9.47%Middle half 7.15% – 11.55%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
239.7median
206254
Median 239.7Middle half 230.7 – 248
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
22%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Nov 1, 20261%
- Before Dec 1, 20263%
- Before Jan 1, 20273%▼ 1
2 more
- Before Jul 1, 20275%▼ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202822%▲ 2
Will the Clarity Act become law? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
20%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Nov 1, 20261%
- Before Dec 1, 20262%
- Before Jan 1, 20276%
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- Before Jan 1, 202820%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions