Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Nov 27, 2027even chance by
- October 3114%▼ 5
- November 3055%▼ 5
- December 3177%▼ 4
Install
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts) (for fiscal year 2026)
The odds
$8.27Mmedian
$-3M$8B
Median $8.27MMiddle half $3.98M – $95M
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $1M | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.2K | |
| Above $5M | 67% | ▲ 1 | 63¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | |
| Above $10M | 41% | ▲ 1 | 38¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 113 |
| Above $50M | 30% | ▲ 1 | 26¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 214 |
| Above $100M | 25% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 6.7K |
| Above $500M | 11% | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.00 | |
| Above $1B | 8% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 3.2K |
| Above $2B | 6% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 2.8K |
| Above $4B | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 2.7K | |
| Above $6B | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: gold prices, gold, FY2026 Commerce Department
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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