Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
Install
Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
78%Montana US Senate
- Montana US Senate78%▼ 5
- New Jersey US Senate21%▲ 4
How the odds have moved
Montana US Senate: 82% on Oct 19, 78% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana US Senate | 78% | ▼ 5 | 75¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 978 |
| New Jersey US Senate | 21% | ▲ 4 | 16¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 232 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Closer Senate, New Jersey, Montana
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Why New Jersey’s ventilator guidelines may favor younger, whiter patientsBy Sam Sutton and Carly Sitrin 04/19/2020 07:00 AM EDT Lawmakers in New Jersey, which is quickly becoming the new epicenter of the Covid-19 pandemic, are worried new emergency triage guidelines for the state’s hospitals could push younger… -
Early voting begins in New Jersey for 2026 midterm electionsCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Early… -
Tom Kean had everything going for him. Then the Republican New Jersey congressman disappearedEven with a multimillion-dollar war chest, the US representative faces a stiff fight for his seat from Democrat Rebecca Bennett The stars above New Jersey seemed aligned for Tom Kean Jr. The Republican congressman had a war chest of more… -
Voters in Burlington County, New Jersey demand changes after waiting for hours at polling sitesNovember 6, 2024 / 6:56 PM EST / CBS Philadelphia Burlington County leaders called the experience of voters Tuesday, who waited hours in long lines at the polls, "unacceptable" and vowed a "top-to-bottom" review of election procedures to… -
How and when to vote early in New York and New Jersey for the 2026 general electionOctober 23, 2026 / 2:51 PM EDT / CBS New York Early voting gets underway Saturday in New York and New Jersey Polling sites will be open around New York City starting at 9 a.m. Saturday. The early voting period will continue through Sunday… -
'I basically snapped': New Jersey mayor charges at resident during chaotic council meetingVideo captures Pemberton Township Mayor Matthew Bianchini rushing toward a resident during a heated council meeting before being restrained by others in attendance (Credit: Ryan Elmore/Pine Barrens Tribune via Storyful). A New Jersey… -
New video shows New Jersey mayor charging at resident during heated council meetingFox News New video shows New Jersey mayor charging at resident during heated council meeting Video released by Pemberton Township shows Mayor Matthew Bianchini rushing toward a resident during a tense council meeting before being… -
Federal oversight ended, so Sherrill proposed cuts to New Jersey’s child welfare systemNew Jersey spent more than two decades rebuilding a child welfare system once described as dysfunctional, eventually making enough progress to escape federal court oversight and rank among the nation’s better-performing states on several… -
Pemberton, New Jersey mayor charges at someone during heated council meetingCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pemberton… -
Anger over rising prices could be decisive in Alaska’s unusually close Senate raceVoters in Alaska told NBC News that the skyrocketing cost of living is the main issue driving anger at Trump and GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan, who faces a tight re-election race. ANCHORAGE, Alaska — As voters in the Last Frontier prepare to… -
New Jersey politicians getting hot and botheredWhen Matthew Bianchini, the mayor of Pemberton Township in South Jersey, made headlines for charging after and yelling at an audience member and at a Oct. 21 meeting, it was not the first time a public meeting got out of hand in New… -
Early voting opens in New York and New JerseyNEW YORK (WABC) -- Early voting began Saturday in New York and New Jersey as voters began casting ballots in key races across the region. The candidates for New York governor spent Friday making their cases to voters ahead of the start of…
Related markets
All senate ›Texas Senate Election Winner
65%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton (R)36%▼ 1
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
64%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party64%
- Republican Party37%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%
- D-House, R-Senate28%▲ 3
- Republicans sweep9%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)
77%Darline Graham
- Darline Graham77%▼ 3
- Annie Andrews23%▲ 2
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
66%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed66%▼ 3
- Mike Rogers35%▲ 2
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions