Brazil Presidential Election
73%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro73%▼ 10
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva27%▲ 11
Install
PSOE majority in the Cortes of Castilla-La Mancha? (May 23, 2027)
The odds
46%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 46% on Oct 19, 46% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46% | ▲ 1 | 42¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Cortes of Castilla-La Mancha, PSOE
Search ›-
The PSOE, very close to taking eleven seats from the right (and to losing a few, too)As happened three years ago, the right-wing bloc starts with an advantage in the general election race. There is approximately one month left until the elections, and the average for the PP and Vox is situated above 190 seats, comfortably… -
The PSOE accuses Betancort of shielding Vázquez with a public salary after his dismissalThe socialist spokesperson, Ariagona González, emphasizes that "Vázquez's release is linked to his status as a member of the Governing Council and secretary counselor of that body, a responsibility that directly points to the president of… -
Canary Islands Parliament Approves New Teaching Authority Law with PSOE and NC-bc AbstainingThe Canary Islands Parliament has approved a new law aimed at strengthening the authority of teachers, with support from the ruling coalition (CC, PP, AG, and AHI) and Vox, while PSOE and NC-bc abstained from the vote. The law will provide… -
PSOE says families forced to protect pupils amid delay over damaged school pergolaThe party says the structure at CEIP Miguel Hernández remains unrepaired months after the council promised urgent action The PSOE has criticised Orihuela City Council over the continued deterioration of a pergola at CEIP Miguel Hernández… -
14 Government Officials Resign to Run on PSOE ListsSix government delegates and eight subdelegates have left their posts to stand for the PSOE in Spain’s 29 November general election. Electoral law bars them from remaining in office as candidates, forcing a territorial reshuffle. The… -
PSOE deploys a canvas at Ferraz to welcome Milei: "We leftists welcome you"Diari ARA PSOE deploys a canvas at Ferraz to welcome Milei: "We leftists welcome you" The PSOE has unfurled a banner on the facade of its Madrid headquarters on Ferraz Street to welcome the President of Argentina, Javier Milei, who is… -
CIS breaks polling consensus with PSOE in frontMost private surveys put the PP ahead and project about 204 seats for a PP and Vox bloc, above the 176-seat majority threshold. The CIS diverges sharply, placing the PSOE first with a lead of nearly 12 points. An absolute majority in the… -
Bermúdez Breaches Electoral Law in Attack on PSOE Over Waste ChargeThe Provincial Electoral Board of Santa Cruz de Tenerife has instructed the local council to immediately remove a press release titled “Bermúdez accuses PSOE of deceiving Santa Cruz residents about the waste tax.” This statement, published… -
Dispute Over Arico Landfill: PSOE Calls on Tenerife Cabildo to Settle Municipal Debt for Hosting Environmental ComplexThe PSOE party in Tenerife is demanding that the island Cabildo urgently finalises an agreement with Arico Council and pays outstanding financial compensation for hosting the Tenerife Environmental Complex. This request highlights the need… -
Tamara Raya (PSOE): “Cabildos Function Like Large Municipalities”When asked about Pedro Martín’s presidency, she noted that while he faced many challenges, including COVID-19, his planning skills were evident from his time as mayor of Guía de Isora. She added that decentralising governance is vital for… -
PSOE shuts photographers out of Federal CommitteeMadrid coverage follows local decisions, weather, transport, housing, tourism and public safety for English-speaking residents, visitors and readers following the city from abroad. Stories follow city events, incidents, festivals, road… -
The Valencian Rebeca Torró, new spokesperson for the PSOE after the resignation of Montse MínguezThe socialists and Broad Front reach a state pact of joint lists in the Senate After the PSOE spokesperson, Montse MÃnguez submitted her resignation this Friday due to the scandal that has been generated in recent days by her partner's…
Related markets
All around the world ›Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
56%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia56%▼ 13
- Student List – Students Win43%▲ 13
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
51%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%51%▲ 13
- Lula da Silva <4%24%▲ 12
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%17%▼ 23
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%3%▼ 2
- Lula da Silva 4-8%2%▲ 2
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+2%
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Next French Presidential Election
44%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen44%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe16%▼ 1
- David Lisnard14%▲ 1
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann3%▼ 1
- François Hollande3%
- Bruno Retailleau2%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Christine Lagarde<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
69%Yashar
- Yashar69%
- Likud30%
- Together<1%
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
71%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro71%▼ 12
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva29%▲ 13
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions