Top Chinese AI company this month (Oct 31, 2026)

Kalshi Tech › AI Closes Sat 10:00 AM ET · $70 today · $4.9K traded · $2.4K at stake · prices read 45 min ago

The odds

63%Xiaomi
  • Xiaomi63%▲ 3
  • Moonshot21%▼ 5
  • Alibaba7%
  • Tencent2%▲ 1
  • Baidu1%
  • DeepSeek1%
  • ByteDance1%
  • MiniMax1%
  • Z.ai1%

How the odds have moved

Xiaomi: 66% on Oct 20, 63% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 5 PM ETXiaomi: 60% → 65%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Xiaomi 63% ▲ 3 15¢ 71¢ $1.41 4.6K
Moonshot 21% ▼ 5 16¢ 26¢ $3.85 8.0K
Alibaba 7% 5¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.1K
Tencent 2% ▲ 1 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 351
Baidu 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 390
DeepSeek 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 348
ByteDance 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 124
MiniMax 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 444
Z.ai 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 956

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Chinese AI

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Related markets

All ai ›

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

86%Google
  • Google86%▼ 4
  • Anthropic10%▲ 2
  • OpenAI1%▲ 1
18 more
  • Meta<1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

72%No release by October 31
  • No release by October 3172%▲ 5
  • October 2714%▼ 3
  • October 265%▲ 1
11 more
  • October 284%▲ 2
  • October 294%▲ 1
  • October 302%▼ 2
  • October 201%▼ 12
  • October 31<1%▼ 1
  • October 19<1%▼ 2
  • October 21<1%▼ 5
  • October 22<1%▼ 14
  • October 23<1%▼ 4
  • October 24<1%
  • October 25<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions