Hungary rate decision in November (Nov 17, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Economy › Central banks Closes Nov 17 · $191 today · $4.3K traded · $3.4K at stake · prices read 76 min ago

The odds

98%Maintain current rate
  • Maintain current rate98%▲ 1
  • Cut 1-25bps2%
  • Hike 1-25bps1%
  • Cut more than 25bps1%▲ 1
  • Hike more than 25bps<1%

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 88% on Oct 21, 98% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETMaintain current rate: 88% → 80%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Maintain current rate 98% ▲ 1 98¢ 99¢ $1.01 4.0K
Cut 1-25bps 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 17.00
Hike 1-25bps 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 542
Cut more than 25bps 1% ▲ 1 2¢ $50.00 7.4K
Hike more than 25bps <1% 1¢ $100.00 21.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Hungary

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  • ‘Traitors in every family’: Hungary to unmask communist-era informants and confront pastthe Guardian · 4 days agoFrom 1945 to 1989 security police relied on tens of thousands of spies to suppress dissent. To rebuild trust, their files will finally be made public Hungary’s new government will on Wednesday reveal the names of tens of thousands of state…
  • How the downfall of Serbia's Vučiċ mirrored that of Hungary's OrbánBBC News · 5 days agoWhen they met in northern Serbia last November, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučiċ and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán could hardly have guessed they would both be out of power within a year. Both were ousted by popular movements…
  • Hungarian house speaker: Shared history, national minorities call for Hungary-Croatia cooperationDailyNewsHungary · 3 days agoZagreb, June 2 (MTI) – Hungary and Croatia’s interdependence throughout history and the presence of national minorities in both countries call for closer cooperation between the two states, House Speaker László Kövér said in Zagreb on…
  • Currency exchange – Hungarian forint – 24.10.2016.DailyNewsHungary · 3 days agoBudapest, October 24 (MTI) - Official forint fixing of the National Bank of Hungary: Australian dollar 216.00 Brazilian real 89.76 Bulgarian lev 157.56 Currency exchange – Hungarian forint – 24.10.2016. Leave a Reply Cancel reply This site…
  • Minister announced great Hungarian success from New York!DailyNewsHungary · 3 days agoThe General Assembly of the United Nations has adopted a Hungarian initiative with a full consensus to mark World Fair Play Day on May 19 each year, Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó said on Facebook from New York on Tuesday. “Today has…
  • ESG law strengthens the competitiveness of Hungarian businessesDailyNewsHungary · 3 days agoHungary's environmental, social and governance/ESG law is aimed at strengthening the competitiveness of Hungarian businesses and promoting ESG law strengthens the competitiveness of Hungarian businesses Hungary’s environmental, social and…
  • Praise Outperforms Shaming in Hungary’s Democratic Strugglecddrl.fsi.stanford.edu · 4 days agoPraise also raised the likelihood of sharing information about the movement by about 1.5 to 2 points, though its effect on sharing appeared only before the election. Endorsements from allied ... Praise Outperforms Shaming in Hungary’s…
  • Hungarian Democracy Defenders: A Report of the AFT/ASI Solidarity Mission to Hungaryshankerinstitute.org · 4 days agoMonday | October 12, 2026 Video of Hungarian Solidarity Mission Moderator: Ben Novak, Wall Street Journal correspondent in Hungary WATCH THE ENTIRE DEFENDING DEMOCRACY WEBINAR SERIES Posts by delegation members: Lessons from Hungary and…
  • Tips can disappear due to service charge in HungaryDailyNewsHungary · 3 days agoWhich do you prefer? Tips or service charge? Tips can disappear due to service charge in Hungary “We want the workers’ wages to increase legally. As the service charge is exclusively the employees’ due, there is no further need of tips…
  • Ferenc Deák commemorative coins released in HungaryDailyNewsHungary · 3 days agoDiscover exquisite Hungary commemorative coins celebrating the legacy of Ferenc Deák. Acquire these limited-edition coins today! Ferenc Deák commemorative coins released in Hungary In celebration of the 220th anniversary of Ferenc Deák’s…
  • Hungary to disclose communist-era informant recordsintellinews.com · 3 days agoMissile War Monitor: Russian bombs kill 29 at Ukrainian aid school as overnight missiles hit power plants and a Kharkiv hospital Russia's FSB says Ukraine mailed booby-trapped drone goggles to its troops Croatia's President Milanovic says…
  • Hungarian app helps finding parking spots in BudapestDailyNewsHungary · 4 days agoThe Budapest parking crisis never seems to end. Luckily, a new Hungarian app called Parkl aims to aid helpless drivers who are desperately looking for free spots in the capital. The application makes it possible to park even in the more…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions