Bank of Russia rate decision in December (Dec 18, 2026 meeting)
67%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate67%
- Cut 1-25bps20%▲ 2
- Hike 1-25bps6%▲ 2
2 more
- Cut more than 25bps5%▼ 1
- Hike more than 25bps3%▼ 1
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Bank of Russia rate decision in October (Oct 23, 2026 meeting)
Settled Maintain current rateA day before, traders gave it 80%.
The last odds before it closed
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- ✓ Maintain current rate78%▼ 3
- Hike 1-25bps8%▲ 4
- Cut more than 25bps5%▲ 1
- Hike more than 25bps5%▲ 1
- Cut 1-25bps1%▼ 11
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 86% on Oct 20, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Maintain current rate | 78% | 12.1K | ||||
| ✗ Hike 1-25bps | 8% | 386 | ||||
| ✗ Cut more than 25bps | 5% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ Hike more than 25bps | 5% | 459 | ||||
| ✗ Cut 1-25bps | 1% | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ukraine, Russia, Zelensky
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Zelensky Reveals Massive Russian Barrage Amid Musk’s Starshield RestrictionOct 25, 2026 at 02:19 PM EDT Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia had launched thousands of attacks this past week before Elon Musk’s SpaceX restored its Starlink and Starshield satellite internet service in the country… -
Russia says it will open humanitarian corridor to Ukrainian townRussia says it will open a humanitarian corridor to the occupied Ukrainian town of Oleshky, where people have been eating weeds and pickles to survive while trapped by minefields, shelling and drones. Russia says it will open humanitarian… -
How Trump’s Hero Winston Churchill Would Handle Putin and UkraineOct 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT When Donald Trump wanted to cut Keir Starmer down to size in March, he reached for his hero. "This is not Winston Churchill," the president said in the Oval Office, after Britain initially refused to let U.S… - Zelensky Rules Out Land Swap With Russia, Says Lifting Sanctions Before Putin Talks Would Weaken UkraineSanctions relief before talks would weaken Ukraine's hand Zelensky opposed lifting sanctions on Russia ahead of a possible trilateral meeting involving the leaders of Russia, Ukraine and the United States. He said the sanctions were…
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Zelensky says trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia meeting to take place in NovemberUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Sunday said that a trilateral meeting between Kyiv, Washington and Moscow would take place in November aiming to restart stalled peace talks. “We are ready to talk. If it’s a territorial issue, it… -
Ukraine, US, Russia expected to hold trilateral talks in November, says ZelenskyUkrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky said on Sunday that Ukraine, the United States and Russia are expected to hold trilateral talks in November, in a bid to revive negotiations that have remained deadlocked. “We are ready to talk. If… -
Zelensky: Ukraine Offered US 3 Ways to Stop Strikes on Russian Oil RefineriesIn brief: Zelensky said Ukraine was prepared to halt strikes on Russian oil refineries if Russia stopped attacking Ukrainian energy infrastructure, the US enabled Starlink coverage over Russia, or Washington supplied Patriot missiles. He… -
Ukraine war briefing: Trilateral peace talks with Russia to restart, says ZelenskyyUkraine will not discuss limits to its armed forces or enforced neutrality at November meeting, president says. What we know on day 1,706A trilateral meeting between Kyiv, Washington and Moscow will take place in November aiming to restart… -
Russia burning as Ukraine launches massive blitz on Putin's 'Doomsday' jet factoryUnexplained explosions hit a fuel train on a line linked to the Trans-Siberian Railway - the world's longest non-stop train - in the Sverdlovsk region, igniting seven diesel wagons and derailing 20 carriages. An investigation into possible… -
Russia says it caught Ukrainian agents preparing close range drone attack on Moscow’s air defensesRussia’s FSB security service has thwarted a planned Ukrainian drone attack from inside Russia on a key element of Moscow’s air defense system and on an electricity facility, the FSB said on Monday, saying it had arrested two men… -
Russia given first championships since Ukraine invasionWeightlifting was first included as an Olympic sport in the 1896 Games in Athens Moscow will host the 2030 World Weightlifting Championships - the first time an Olympic federation has chosen to stage a global event in Russia since the… -
Ukraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv disputes Musk’s Starlink claims as Zelensky says peace talks to resumeZelensky announces trilateral meeting with Russia and the US in November Serhii Beskrestnov, an adviser to president Volodymyr Zelensky, rejected that claim, arguing the restrictions would have made it “physically impossible” for Ukraine…
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All central banks ›Bank of Brazil decision in November?
65%No Change
- No Change65%▲ 48
- 25 bps decrease21%▼ 61
- 25 bps increase5%▲ 5
2 more
- 50+ bps increase2%▲ 1
- 50+ bps decrease2%▲ 1
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
52%No Change
- No Change52%▲ 28
- 25 bps decrease21%▼ 38
- 50+ bps increase13%▲ 11
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease3%▼ 14
- 25 bps increase2%
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
89%No change
- No change89%▲ 15
- 25 bps decrease11%▼ 14
- 25 bps increase<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps increase<1%
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
81%Hike 25bps
- Hike 25bps81%▲ 1
- Maintains rate17%
- Hike >25bps1%▲ 1
2 more
- Cut >25bps<1%
- Cut 25bps<1%
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
5median
57
Median 5Middle half 5 – 6
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions