Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
81%Hike 25bps
- Hike 25bps81%▼ 1
- Maintains rate17%
- Hike >25bps1%▲ 1
2 more
- Cut >25bps1%
- Cut 25bps1%
Install
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December (Dec 4, 2026 meeting)
The odds
76%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps76%▲ 3
- Maintain current rate16%▼ 1
- Hike more than 25bps5%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
How the odds have moved
Hike 1-25bps: 69% on Oct 19, 76% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 76% | ▲ 3 | 76¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 77.00 |
| Maintain current rate | 16% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 1.6K |
| Hike more than 25bps | 5% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 53.00 | |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.7K | ||
| Cut 1-25bps | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 11.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Reserve Bank of India
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From Repo Rates to Currency Issuance: Understanding the Major Functions of the Reserve Bank of IndiaReserve Bank of India (pc- social media) The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) performs several important functions to maintain monetary stability, regulate the banking system and manage the supply of money in the economy. As India's central… -
RBI net forex buys hit a record $43 billion in August, balances it with swapsThe Reserve Bank of India recorded a net purchase of $43.26 billion in August's foreign exchange market. This was done to manage significant dollar inflows from the FCNR(B) scheme and overseas borrowings. Despite the net purchase, foreign… -
Operational Risk Capital Rules Revised from April 2027: RBIPlease refer to Chapter IV of the Reserve Bank of India (Commercial Banks – Forthcoming Instructions) Directions, 2025 dated November 28, 2025 (hereinafter referred to as ‘the Directions’), on Minimum Capital Requirements for Operational… -
Export Declaration Form: Is it mandatory for all exporters? Rules, exemptions explained - BusinessTodayIndian service exporters, freelancers, and tech startups are up in arms over the Reserve Bank of India’s new foreign exchange reporting framework that came into effect on October 1, 2026. The mounting frustration centers on the newly… -
Rupee goes international - Journey of Indian currency since 1947New Delhi [India], August 14 : India is celebrating its 77 anniversary of Independence and is at the crossroads of realising resilient economic growth for its people during the next 25 years - what the government has described as the… -
Inactive Bank Accounts and Untracked Shares Recoverable Through Digital SystemsNEW DELHI: Financial assets worth substantial sums frequently remain untracked in dormant savings accounts, matured fixed deposits, overlooked mutual fund folios, and long-held equity investments due to employment changes, outdated contact… -
Double-Engine Boost: PM Modi’s Odisha Visit Focuses on Tech and Economic GrowthHome » Double-Engine Boost: PM Modi’s Odisha Visit Focuses on Tech and Economic Growth Prime Minister Narendra Modi is scheduled to visit Odisha tomorrow for the ninth time since the formation of the double-engine government in the state… -
India's forex reserves decline $5 bn to $721 bnIndia's forex reserves dropped by $5.011 billion to $721.016 billion during the week ended October 16, the Reserve Bank of India said on Friday. In the previous reporting week, the kitty declined by $8.578 billion to $726.027 billion. The… -
RBI Reaffirms Listing Rules for Top NBFCsNews. RBI Reaffirms Listing Rules for Top NBFCs - RBI Reaffirms Listing Rules for Top NBFCs Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Sanjay Malhotra has reiterated that non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) classified in the upper layer must… -
RBI Revises Bank Leverage Ratio Norms from 1st April 20272. Accordingly, in exercise of the powers conferred by Section 35A of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949 and all other provisions / laws enabling the Reserve Bank of India to issue instructions in this regard, the Reserve Bank being… -
Bank holiday today: Are SBI, HDFC, ICICI, PNB branches closed on 24 October for fourth Saturday? Check RBI calendarBank holiday today: Public and private lenders, including branches of the State Bank of India (SBI), HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Punjab National Bank (PNB), will be closed today, on 24 October for fourth Saturday off. As per Reserve Bank of… -
Banking liquidity surplus shrinks to Rs 541 crore as cash crunch increasesLiquidity surplus in the banking system was reported at ₹541 crore as of October 21. Banks have increased fund parking to meet their daily cash reserve requirements of 99%. The weighted average call rate (WACR) rose to 5.65%, which is 15…
Related markets
All central banks ›Bank of Brazil decision in November?
60%No Change
- No Change60%▲ 42
- 25 bps decrease23%▼ 58
- 50+ bps increase7%▲ 6
2 more
- 25 bps increase2%▲ 2
- 50+ bps decrease2%▲ 1
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
49%25 bps decrease
- 25 bps decrease49%▼ 10
- No Change39%▲ 16
- 25 bps increase4%▲ 2
2 more
- 50+ bps increase3%▲ 2
- 50+ bps decrease2%▼ 15
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
5median
57
Median 5Middle half 5 – 6
Bank of Israel rate decision in November (Nov 23, 2026 meeting)
58%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate58%▼ 9
- Cut 1-25bps39%▲ 13
- Hike 1-25bps1%
2 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps<1%
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November (Nov 4, 2026 meeting)
59%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate59%▲ 43
- Cut 1-25bps25%▼ 59
- Hike 1-25bps4%▲ 4
2 more
- Cut more than 25bps3%▲ 2
- Hike more than 25bps2%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions