Bank of Brazil decision in November?
99%No Change
- No Change99%▲ 7
- 25 bps decrease<1%▼ 6
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 25 bps increase<1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in December (Dec 9, 2026 meeting)
The odds
79%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate79%▲ 17
- Cut more than 25bps6%
- Cut 1-25bps6%▼ 17
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Hike 1-25bps3%
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 63% on Nov 4, 79% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 79% | ▲ 17 | 75¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 11.00 |
| Cut more than 25bps | 6% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| Cut 1-25bps | 6% | ▼ 17 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 377 |
| Hike more than 25bps | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| Hike 1-25bps | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 7.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Central Bank of Brazil
Search ›- Rising Rate Pressures Make Founder-Controlled Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI), Nu Holdings (NYSE: NU) And Figure Technology Solutions (NYSE: FIGR) Worth A Closer LookBy Ewan Scott | Nov 2, 2026 | Economy & Business, Featured, News & Analysis With borrowing costs still squeezing capital-intensive technology ventures, investors are increasingly turning to companies where founders retain meaningful equity…
- Brazil crypto licensing draws just 40 firms as deadline passesBrazil’s cryptocurrency industry has seen far fewer companies enter the country’s new licensing process than initially expected, with roughly 40 institutions identified ahead of the October 30 deadline. According to an assessment cited by…
- Brazil Price Index Cools to 1.47% in OctoberBrazil’s price pressure eased, its bank lending slowed and its government’s pre-interest deficit narrowed in figures released on Thursday 29 October 2026. The IGP-M price index, bank lending growth and the public sector’s primary result…
- Brazil September Deficit Hits US$21 BillionRio Times Markets · Brazil Brazil’s public sector ran a nominal deficit of R$113 billion (about US$21 billion) in September, wider than the R$100 billion analysts expected, because interest on its debt remains very heavy. Moving to Brazil…
- Coinbase files for Brazil crypto license ahead of central bank deadlineThe US exchange submitted its VASP application days before Brazil's October 30 cutoff and expects to keep serving local customers during the review Gloria daily close for session Oct 28, 2026. Market cap and trailing P/E use this close…
- Coinbase seeks Brazil crypto license, expects no service disruptionCoinbase has applied for authorization ahead of Brazil’s Oct. 30 deadline and says it expects to maintain existing services while regulators review its application. Coinbase has applied for authorization to operate as a crypto service…
- Brazil Draws US$11.3bn in Foreign InvestmentBrazil attracted US$11.3 billion in net foreign direct investment in September 2026, the Central Bank of Brazil reported on Monday, October 26, 2026. The inflow was up from US$9.6 billion in September 2025 and from US$7.4 billion in August…
- Itaú formalizes crypto trading, offering 15 assets including Bitcoin and EthereumBrazil's largest private bank is the first financial institution to formalize its crypto operations under the country's new digital asset rules CoinGecko data as of Oct 28, 5:15 AM EDT. Brazil’s biggest private bank just moved its crypto…
- Brazil’s Central Bank Regulates Virtual Asset Service Providers: What BCB Resolutions Mean for Crypto ComplianceOpen stablecoin payment network Keep trading volume moving without compliance delays Add stablecoin settlement to your existing payments stack The infrastructure regulators expect for your digital asset programs Request and receive…
- Brazilian Banking Giant Itaú Formalizes Crypto Role as Brazil Closes Its Licensing WindowItaú has formally registered with Brazil’s central bank to intermediate and custody crypto assets under the new licensing rules. Itaú Unibanco, the largest private bank in Brazil, has formalized its role as a cryptocurrency service…
- Brazil’s Itaú Unibanco Becomes First Bank to Formally Register Crypto Trading and CustodyAllChained, live data on tokenized treasuries, funds and stablecoins. Who can buy tokenized funds? Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, has become the first bank to formally register cryptocurrency trading and custody services…
- Binance Pursues Brazilian Regulatory Approval Ahead of October 30 DeadlineBinance has applied for a cryptocurrency service provider licence in Brazil through its local affiliate ahead of an October 30 regulatory deadline. The exchange aims to expand beyond digital asset trading by offering financial services…
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>99%chance▲ 53
Bank of England decision in December?
56%No change
- No change56%▼ 17
- 25 bps increase43%▲ 22
- 50+ bps increase1%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
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Bank of Brazil decision in December?
83%No Change
- No Change83%▲ 8
- 25 bps decrease5%▼ 10
- 50+ bps decrease3%▲ 1
2 more
- 25 bps increase2%▼ 3
- 50+ bps increase2%▲ 1
Which central banks will hike before 2027?
96%Riksbank
- Riksbank96%▲ 4
- Swiss National Bank4%▲ 3
Bank of Mexico rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)
90%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate90%▲ 12
- Cut 25bps7%▼ 10
- Cut more than 50bps2%▼ 1
4 more
- Cut 50bps2%▼ 1
- Hike 50bps1%▼ 2
- Hike more than 50bps1%▼ 2
- Hike 25bps1%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions