US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report (Oct 28, 2026)
1.69%median
-12%12%
Median 1.69%
Install
Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?
The odds
13%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 10% on Oct 19, 13% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 6.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Canada
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In Canada: Summer Walker, Bebe Rexha to Accept Awards at Billboard Canada Women in Music 2026Also this week: Drake finances a new album for a Canadian rapper and Tate McRae's Victoria's Secret performance draws criticism. Billboard Canada has announced some more major global names for Billboard Canada Women In Music, where Cardi B… -
White House adds new tariffs on some Canadian importsCNBC's Eamon Javers reports on new tariffs that have been added to some Canadian imports after the White House removed tariffs that were affecting Maine. White House adds new tariffs on some Canadian imports -
Trump dropping some Canada tariffs but ‘replacing’ them with other productsThe U.S. will issue tariff exemptions on several categories of Canadian imports, Sen. Susan Collins announced Friday. Trump dropping some Canada tariffs but âreplacingâ them with other products -
Canada inflict back-to-back losses on EnglandBack-to-back losses for Red Roses against Canada Tries: Omokhuale, De Goede 3, Bauder Cons: De Goede 3 Tries: Feaunati, Cokayne, Sing Cons: Harrison, Sing Pens: Harrison England suffered back-to-back defeats for the first time in a decade… -
England suffer back-to-back losses to CanadaWatch highlights as England were beaten by Canada for the second time in as many weeks, losing 31-22 in their WXV Global Series match in Ottawa, Canada. Up Next. Evans' pride at reaching 50 Wales caps. Video, 00:00:30Evans' pride at… -
White House says the US is lifting tariffs on some Canadian goodsThe US is lifting some of its 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, with the White House saying on Friday it was working to "protect the economic prosperity and national security of the American people". The exemptions could also boost Republican… -
US ambassador softens accusations of Canadian interference in midtermsIn an interview, Ambassador Pete Hoekstra said the U.S. had not determined whether there had, in fact, been any interference by Canadian officials. Pete Hoekstra, then-candidate for U.S. ambassador to Canada, takes his seat for a Senate… -
Trump lifts 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods in boon to Maine Sen. Susan CollinsOctober 23, 2026 / 5:32 PM EDT / CBS News President Trump on Friday slashed tariffs on a handful of Canadian products that are used widely by Maine's agricultural industry, a move cheered by Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who is facing a… -
Trump rolls back some Canada tariffs as midterm election approachesBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Trump… -
Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs, Sen. Susan Collins saysThe Trump administration has granted tariff exemptions on some Canadian products, Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who’s facing a tough re-election battle in Maine, said Friday. The move is an implicit acknowledgement that President Donald… -
Canadian Airlines Are Cutting US Flight RoutesOct 22, 2026 at 07:03 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 07:27 AM EDT Weakening demand for U.S. travel is prompting Canadian airlines to cut flights south of the border, with Air Canada canceling five routes for 2027. Data from aviation data and…
Related markets
All housing ›Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
60%↑ 7.50%
- Reaches 7.5%60%
- Falls to 6.5%26%
- Falls to 6.25%22%
Already reached: ↑ 7.25%, ↑ 7.00%, ↑ 6.75%, ↑ 6.50%, ↑ 6.30%, ↑ 6.20%
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
705,678median
670,000750,000
Median 705,678Middle half 701,441 – 709,915
US building permits for October (October 2026)
1.38median
1.201.65
Median 1.38Middle half 1.33 – 1.43
Will Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
90%chance
US new home sales for September (September 2026)
642,000median
580,000760,000
Median 642,000Middle half 623,793 – 675,862
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions