Next Canadian federal election winner? (2029)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 15, 2030 · $7 traded · $4 at stake · prices read 11 h ago

The odds

60%Liberal Party
  • Liberal Party60%
  • Conservative Party36%▼ 3
  • New Democratic Party4%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Liberal Party: 60% on Oct 19, 60% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Liberal Party 60% 55¢ 65¢ $1.54 3.00
Conservative Party 36% ▼ 3 33¢ 38¢ $2.63 9.00
New Democratic Party 4% ▲ 1 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 56.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Liberal Party, Conservative Party, New Democratic Party

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.