Brazil Presidential Election
79%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva79%▲ 63
- Flávio Bolsonaro21%▼ 63
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Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 19, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 25.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Andrew Tate
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Congress Demands Records on Barron Trump's Alleged Role in White House Interference Over Andrew Tate CaseBarron Trump's reported ties to Andrew Tate face renewed congressional scrutiny. Oct. 21 2026, Updated 5:55 a.m. ET Barron Trump's reported relationship with Andrew Tate is back in the spotlight as congressional Democrats demand answers… -
Dems Demand Answers About Trump Administration’s Involvement In Andrew Tate Extradition CaseTwo Democratic members of Congress sent a letter to the Justice and State Departments demanding answers about whether the Trump administration plans to intervene in Andrew and Tristan Tate’s extradition case, as well as its reported… -
EXCLUSIVE: Barron Trump's Reported Ties to Andrew Tate Resurface as Congress Demands Answers Over Alleged White House InterventionBarron Trump's reported ties to Andrew Tate face renewed congressional scrutiny. Oct. 20 2026, Updated 7:00 p.m. ET Barron Trump's reported relationship with Andrew Tate is back in the spotlight as congressional Democrats demand answers… -
One in three teen boys follows Andrew Tate at least a little, and those who do hold more rigid views of manhood“Andrew Tate and ‘the manosphere’ had been in the headlines for quite a while,” Scharrer told PsyPost. “I noticed that even though some of the concern expressed in news and popular discourse was about the potential of the manosphere or… -
UK children just as likely to have suffered harm on social media despite crackdownCampaigners call lack of progress ‘staggering’, as Ofcom also admits little change in severity of harm to children encountering unsafe content Landmark online safety measures have failed to limit the proportion of children suffering harms… -
Netanyahu orders army to prepare to SHUT West Bank after two gunmen killed as Israeli forces foil ‘terror attack’ISRAEL has ordered its army to prepare for a complete closure of the West Bank after claiming to have foiled a suspected terror attack. Prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu commanded his security forces to cordon off the city of Hebron and… -
Online masculinity content offers self-help but fuels misogyny, young men sayYoung men surveyed in Australia, the UK and the US said online masculinity content offered self-improvement advice but also carried risks of misogyny and harmful stereotypes. Masculinity content promises young men self-optimisation and… -
‘It’s pretty toxic… but just a little, I want to be like that’: what young men think of manosphere contentby Women's Agenda | 3 hours ago Masculinity content promises young men self-optimisation and success, but often delivers health harms, risk taking, unattainable standards, gender stereotypes and misogyny. The latter is the strongest… -
“That’s What You Voted For”: Christina Ricci Destroyed A 71-Year-Old MAGA Voter With A Simple 5-Word Question, And People Are ApplaudingChristina Ricci confronts a MAGA voter with a pointed question that's going viral. See why her response is earning widespread praise online. As a Celebrity Reporter, I cover everything from fashion and award shows to TV, film, and cultural… -
A Carlist View on Portugal’s Monarchist FrontTo the attention of Francisco Araújo, Frente Monárquica. Being that we are one, Holy, universal Apostolic Church, we are spiritually interconnected. What one does reverberates across to all of us. So, I have heard your words. Now, please… -
'10,000 Stephen Millers': Inside American Moment, the MAGA youth group once advised by JD Vance that trains young conservatives to staff the Trump administrationBehind the scenes in Washington, a conservative training organization is preparing a new generation of political operatives to shape the Republican Party for decades. American Moment, founded in 2021, trains young conservatives for… - Trump’s ‘bro coalition’ implodes as young men reject Rogan and MuskDisillusioned young voters are turning on the digital manosphere that helped deliver Trump’s presidency after he promised no foreign wars and accountability for corrupt rich elites. Young American men who rallied behind Donald Trump two…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions