Brazil Presidential Election
98%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva98%▲ 82
- Flávio Bolsonaro2%▼ 82
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Will Dave Bronson drop out? (Before Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
9%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 16% on Oct 19, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 918 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Dave Bronson
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Gubernatorial candidates make their pitch at the Alaska Federation of Natives conventionThe three gubernatorial candidates who spoke Friday at the Alaska Federation of Natives convention found plenty of common ground on education, fisheries, public safety and other subjects. But some divides emerged in what was, for the most… -
Gun Owners of America endorses Bernadette Wilson for governor, urges ranking of all three RepublicansHome » Gun Owners of America endorses Bernadette Wilson for governor, urges ranking of all three Republicans Oct. 24, 2026 – Gun Owners of America has endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor of Alaska, placing her first in its recommended… -
Disqualified House candidate decision raises questions on the future of the governor’s raceANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - A court decision for a state house race is raising questions about the future of former Attorney General Treg Taylor, a Republican running for governor. On Thursday, an Anchorage Superior Court ruled that the… -
‘Cat and mouse’: House speaker says he’s looking forward to new administrationANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - Alaska’s House Speaker Bryce Edgmon, NA-Dillingham, struggled to describe the relationship Friday between the majority caucus and the state Legislature. “The last eight years, we have been having to play — I… -
Trump wants to remove Dan J. Sullivan from the ballot Alaskans are already voting onANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - The president has made clear his disdain for Petersburg’s Dan Sullivan, a man running for senate with an identical name as the incumbent senator, hinting at legal action the administration is pursuing. Wednesday… -
Dunleavy refuses to back a candidate to succeed him, encourages ranking all three RepublicansANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - Alaska’s Republican governor hasn’t backed a candidate for governor, and walking out of a Wednesday press conference, it doesn’t seem like he will. “We need to vote for all three,” Gov. Mike Dunleavy said… -
Alaska Family Council backs 41 candidates based on pro-family, pro-life issuesThe Alaska Family Council has just released its list of preferred candidates in the upcoming Nov. 3 general election. In addition to endorsing 39 candidates for the State Legislature, the endorsement urges Alaskans to vote “yes” on Ballot… - What to know as the 60th Alaska Federation of Natives convention starts Thursday in AnchorageThe 60th annual Alaska Federation of Natives convention kicks off on Thursday in Anchorage, a cultural extravaganza that draws thousands of people from all corners of Alaska for traditional dancing, Native art, and of course, political…
- Every Statewide Race in Alaska Is Close, as 7 in 10 Voters Worry About Affording Gas and FoodNew Data for Progress polling finds close races for governor, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House in Alaska as worry about the cost of living keeps climbing. The cost of living continues to be Alaska voters’ top issue by far. At least 7 in 10…
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Mike Dunleavy: Vote, plus five. Alaska’s future won’t protect itselfHome » Mike Dunleavy: Vote, plus five. Alaska’s future won’t protect itself By GOV. MIKE DUNLEAVY Oct. 20, 2026 – Early voting is underway in Alaska. We have a tremendous opportunity in front of us, and yet a very real possibility of… -
Polls Show a Blue Wave Downballot, TooPolls Show a Blue Wave Down-Ballot, Too New York Magazine Even in an era of increasing partisan polarization and straight-ticket voting, state elections have their own logic and rhythm, in part because salient issues at the state level can… - ‘Show up and do your part’: Early voting begins in Alaska with long lines in AnchorageJUNEAU — Early voting began Monday morning, with Alaskans across the state lining up outside polling places to cast their ballots ahead of the Nov. 3 general election. On the November ballot are races for governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions